Brasileirão· Regular Season - 33· MRV Arena
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro29 Oct
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
2.1 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atletico-MG +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XAtletico-MG or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Cruzeiro +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Cruzeiro or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Atletico-MG to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico-MG -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.79 | - |
| 2Cruzeiro to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cruzeiro -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.34 | - |
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico-MG host Cruzeiro in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 33) at MRV Arena on Thursday, 29 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atletico-MG arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Atletico Torque 3-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 47 points from 30 games. Cruzeiro arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 2-4 away. They're 6th in the table with 48 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico-MG have won 3, Cruzeiro have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico-MG narrow favourites: Atletico-MG 44%, draw 38%, Cruzeiro 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Atletico-MG 2-1 Cruzeiro.
Recent form
Atletico-MG- 14 OctHAtletico Torque3-0
- 11 OctHSantos2-1
- 9 OctAAtletico Paranaense2-2
- 3 OctHRB Bragantino1-0
- 19 SeptHChapecoense-sc1-1
Cruzeiro- 13 OctARB Bragantino2-4
- 8 OctHSao Paulo2-0
- 20 SeptAVitoria3-1
- 13 SeptASantos1-2
- 6 SeptHAtletico Paranaense3-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro: FAQ
What is the Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Atletico-MG 2-1 Cruzeiro.
Who is the favourite to win Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
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Atletico-MG are favourites. Our model gives Atletico-MG a 44% chance of winning, Cruzeiro 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro kick off?
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Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026 at MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte.
