Premier League· Regular Season - 14· Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham
Arsenal5 Dec
Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Tottenham vs Arsenal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Arsenal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Tottenham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| X2Arsenal or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XTottenham or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | - |
| 2Arsenal to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 1Tottenham to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Arsenal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.93 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Tottenham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.87 | - |
Tottenham vs Arsenal preview & analysis
Match preview
Tottenham host Arsenal in the Premier League (Regular Season - 14) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Tottenham arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Manchester United 1-1 away. They're 19th in the table with 3 points from 6 games. Arsenal arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Lille 3-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 15 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Tottenham have won 1, Arsenal have won 5 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Arsenal narrow favourites: Tottenham 23%, draw 38%, Arsenal 39%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Tottenham 0-1 Arsenal.
Recent form
Tottenham- 10 OctAManchester United1-1
- 19 SeptHAston Villa2-3
- 15 SeptALiverpool1-3
- 12 SeptHEverton0-0
- 5 SeptANottingham Forest0-0
Arsenal- 13 OctHLille3-0
- 10 OctHLeeds2-1
- 19 SeptABrighton0-3
- 15 SeptAIpswich4-2
- 12 SeptASunderland2-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Tottenham vs Arsenal: FAQ
What is the Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Tottenham 0-1 Arsenal.
Who is the favourite to win Tottenham vs Arsenal?
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Arsenal are favourites. Our model gives Tottenham a 23% chance of winning, Arsenal 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Arsenal?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Tottenham vs Arsenal kick off?
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Tottenham vs Arsenal kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.
