Premier League· Regular Season - 14· Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford
Manchester City5 Dec
Brentford vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.3 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
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More Brentford vs Manchester City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Manchester City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Manchester City or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Brentford +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XBrentford or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2Manchester City to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Manchester City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 1Brentford to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Brentford -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.80 | - |
Brentford vs Manchester City preview & analysis
Match preview
Brentford host Manchester City in the Premier League (Regular Season - 14) at Brentford Community Stadium on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Brentford arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Aston Villa 2-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Manchester City arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 2-4 at home. They're 1st in the table with 18 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Brentford have won 0, Manchester City have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Manchester City narrow favourites: Brentford 23%, draw 38%, Manchester City 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Brentford 1-2 Manchester City.
Recent form
Brentford- 10 OctAAston Villa2-2
- 18 SeptHChelsea3-0
- 15 SeptAReading2-1
- 12 SeptABournemouth2-2
- 5 SeptHSunderland1-1
Manchester City- 14 OctHParis Saint Germain2-4
- 11 OctALiverpool3-0
- 20 SeptHSunderland5-3
- 17 SeptHNorwich5-0
- 13 SeptAManchester United1-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Brentford vs Manchester City: FAQ
What is the Brentford vs Manchester City prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Brentford 1-2 Manchester City.
Who is the favourite to win Brentford vs Manchester City?
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Manchester City are favourites. Our model gives Brentford a 23% chance of winning, Manchester City 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Manchester City?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Brentford vs Manchester City kick off?
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Brentford vs Manchester City kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Brentford Community Stadium, London.
