Premier League· Regular Season - 14· Villa Park
Aston Villa
Crystal Palace5 Dec
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.9
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Match probabilities
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More Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Crystal Palace +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Crystal Palace or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Aston Villa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XAston Villa or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2Crystal Palace to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Crystal Palace -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.45 | - |
| 1Aston Villa to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Aston Villa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.94 | - |
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace preview & analysis
Match preview
Aston Villa host Crystal Palace in the Premier League (Regular Season - 14) at Villa Park on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Aston Villa arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Fenerbahçe 6-0 at home. They're 16th in the table with 5 points from 6 games. Crystal Palace arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Lyon 2-3 away. They're 12th in the table with 7 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Aston Villa have won 0, Crystal Palace have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Crystal Palace narrow favourites: Aston Villa 23%, draw 38%, Crystal Palace 39%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Aston Villa 1-2 Crystal Palace.
Recent form
Aston Villa- 14 OctHFenerbahçe6-0
- 10 OctHBrentford2-2
- 2 OctASevilla3-1
- 19 SeptATottenham3-2
- 16 SeptACoventry3-1
Crystal Palace- 15 OctALyon2-3
- 11 OctHNottingham Forest3-1
- 3 OctHBristol City0-2
- 20 SeptALeeds0-0
- 17 SeptHLech Poznan4-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace: FAQ
What is the Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Aston Villa 1-2 Crystal Palace.
Who is the favourite to win Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
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Crystal Palace are favourites. Our model gives Aston Villa a 23% chance of winning, Crystal Palace 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace kick off?
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Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Villa Park, Birmingham.
