Championship· Regular Season - 12· Bet365 Stadium
Stoke City
Bristol City24 Oct
Stoke City vs Bristol City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Stoke City vs Bristol City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Stoke City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XStoke City or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bristol City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Bristol City or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Stoke City to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Stoke City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Bristol City to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bristol City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Stoke City vs Bristol City preview & analysis
Match preview
Stoke City host Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) at Bet365 Stadium on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Stoke City arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough 2-3 at home. They're 8th in the table with 16 points from 10 games. Bristol City arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Blackburn 0-1 at home. They're 12th in the table with 14 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Stoke City have won 3, Bristol City have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Stoke City narrow favourites: Stoke City 44%, draw 38%, Bristol City 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Stoke City 1-0 Bristol City.
Recent form
Stoke City- 13 OctHMiddlesbrough2-3
- 10 OctABolton2-1
- 19 SeptHSheffield Utd2-1
- 12 SeptAWatford2-1
- 8 SeptACardiff1-1
Bristol City- 13 OctHBlackburn0-1
- 10 OctACharlton1-1
- 3 OctACrystal Palace2-0
- 18 SeptHWatford1-0
- 15 SeptHLincoln0-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
Stoke City vs Bristol City: FAQ
What is the Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Stoke City 1-0 Bristol City.
Who is the favourite to win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
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Stoke City are favourites. Our model gives Stoke City a 44% chance of winning, Bristol City 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Bristol City?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Stoke City vs Bristol City kick off?
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Stoke City vs Bristol City kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent.
