Championship· Regular Season - 12· Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff
Birmingham24 Oct
Cardiff vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Cardiff vs Birmingham tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Cardiff +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XCardiff or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Birmingham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Birmingham or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Cardiff to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cardiff -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Birmingham to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Birmingham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Cardiff vs Birmingham preview & analysis
Match preview
Cardiff host Birmingham in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) at Cardiff City Stadium on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Cardiff arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Watford 5-1 at home. They're 19th in the table with 10 points from 10 games. Birmingham arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Preston 4-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cardiff have won 4, Birmingham have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cardiff narrow favourites: Cardiff 44%, draw 38%, Birmingham 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Cardiff 2-1 Birmingham.
Recent form
Cardiff- 13 OctHWatford5-1
- 10 OctABlackburn1-2
- 19 SeptHCharlton3-1
- 12 SeptABolton0-1
- 8 SeptHStoke City1-1
Birmingham- 13 OctHPreston4-0
- 10 OctAWest Brom1-0
- 19 SeptHMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptADerby2-1
- 9 SeptANorwich1-2
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
Cardiff vs Birmingham: FAQ
What is the Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Cardiff 2-1 Birmingham.
Who is the favourite to win Cardiff vs Birmingham?
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Cardiff are favourites. Our model gives Cardiff a 44% chance of winning, Birmingham 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Birmingham?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Cardiff vs Birmingham kick off?
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Cardiff vs Birmingham kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
