Championship· Regular Season - 12· Fratton Park
Portsmouth
Millwall24 Oct
Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
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More Portsmouth vs Millwall tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Portsmouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XPortsmouth or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Millwall +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Millwall or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Portsmouth to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Portsmouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Millwall to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Millwall -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Portsmouth vs Millwall preview & analysis
Match preview
Portsmouth host Millwall in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) at Fratton Park on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Portsmouth arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Sheffield Utd 3-2 at home. They're 16th in the table with 11 points from 9 games. Millwall arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Swansea 0-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 14 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Portsmouth have won 2, Millwall have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Portsmouth narrow favourites: Portsmouth 44%, draw 38%, Millwall 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Portsmouth 1-0 Millwall.
Recent form
Portsmouth- 14 OctHSheffield Utd3-2
- 11 OctASouthampton0-1
- 19 SeptHBlackburn2-2
- 12 SeptACharlton0-0
- 5 SeptHCardiff2-0
Millwall- 13 OctHSwansea0-1
- 10 OctAPreston1-0
- 19 SeptHWest Ham2-2
- 15 SeptAMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptABlackburn1-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
Portsmouth vs Millwall: FAQ
What is the Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1-0 Millwall.
Who is the favourite to win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
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Portsmouth are favourites. Our model gives Portsmouth a 44% chance of winning, Millwall 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Millwall?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Portsmouth vs Millwall kick off?
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Portsmouth vs Millwall kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Fratton Park, Portsmouth.
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