Championship· Regular Season - 12· Bramall Lane
Sheffield Utd
Derby24 Oct
Sheffield Utd vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sheffield Utd vs Derby tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sheffield Utd +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XSheffield Utd or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Derby or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Sheffield Utd to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sheffield Utd -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Derby to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Sheffield Utd vs Derby preview & analysis
Match preview
Sheffield Utd host Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 12) at Bramall Lane on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sheffield Utd are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Portsmouth 2-3 away. They're 15th in the table with 12 points from 10 games. Derby are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to QPR 1-4 away. They're 23rd in the table with 6 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sheffield Utd have won 4, Derby have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sheffield Utd narrow favourites: Sheffield Utd 44%, draw 38%, Derby 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sheffield Utd 1-0 Derby.
Recent form
Sheffield Utd- 14 OctAPortsmouth2-3
- 10 OctHLincoln3-0
- 19 SeptAStoke City1-2
- 16 SeptAFleetwood Town0-1
- 13 SeptHWolves0-1
Derby- 14 OctAQPR1-4
- 10 OctHWrexham1-1
- 19 SeptABurnley1-1
- 12 SeptHBirmingham1-2
- 9 SeptHWest Brom0-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 13 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 |  Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Sheffield Utd vs Derby: FAQ
What is the Sheffield Utd vs Derby prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sheffield Utd 1-0 Derby.
Who is the favourite to win Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
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Sheffield Utd are favourites. Our model gives Sheffield Utd a 44% chance of winning, Derby 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sheffield Utd vs Derby kick off?
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Sheffield Utd vs Derby kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Bramall Lane, Sheffield.
