ST Johnstone
Motherwell28 Oct
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
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More ST Johnstone vs Motherwell tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5ST Johnstone +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XST Johnstone or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Motherwell +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Motherwell or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1ST Johnstone to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5ST Johnstone -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Motherwell to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Motherwell -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell preview & analysis
Match preview
ST Johnstone host Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 11) at McDiarmid Park on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
ST Johnstone arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Aberdeen 1-0 away. They're 5th in the table with 11 points from 8 games. Motherwell are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Celtic 0-2 at home. They're 9th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, ST Johnstone have won 2, Motherwell have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes ST Johnstone narrow favourites: ST Johnstone 44%, draw 38%, Motherwell 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is ST Johnstone 1-0 Motherwell.
Recent form
- 11 OctAAberdeen1-0
- 19 SeptHFalkirk1-1
- 9 SeptHCeltic0-1
- 6 SeptHHibernian2-1
- 2 SeptADundee1-1
- 11 OctHCeltic0-2
- 19 SeptADundee1-2
- 15 SeptHAberdeen0-4
- 5 SeptARangers0-1
- 2 SeptHDundee Utd3-0
Head to head
Scottish Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 | |
| 11 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: FAQ
What is the ST Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1-0 Motherwell.
Who is the favourite to win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
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ST Johnstone are favourites. Our model gives ST Johnstone a 44% chance of winning, Motherwell 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does ST Johnstone vs Motherwell kick off?
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ST Johnstone vs Motherwell kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at McDiarmid Park, Perth.