Oh My Tip
Scottish Premiership· Regular Season - 11· McDiarmid Park
ST Johnstone logoST Johnstone
WDLWD
Motherwell logoMotherwell
LLLLW

28 Oct

ST Johnstone vs Motherwell Prediction & Betting Tips

Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off

Our prediction

Under 2.5 goals

Medium· 62%
1xBetBet

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

1-0

Fair odds

1.61

Expected goals

1.4 - 0.8

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Match probabilities

44%ST Johnstone
38%Draw
18%Motherwell
Over 2.5 goals38%
Under 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score41%
Clean sheet either side59%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More ST Johnstone vs Motherwell tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH1 +1.5ST Johnstone +1.5 (Asian Handicap)94%1.07-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals82%1.22-
1XST Johnstone or Draw82%1.23-
AH2 +1.5Motherwell +1.5 (Asian Handicap)75%1.34-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score59%1.70-
X2Motherwell or Draw56%1.78-
1ST Johnstone to win44%2.28-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score41%2.42-
XDraw38%2.65-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals38%2.65-
AH1 -1.5ST Johnstone -1.5 (Asian Handicap)25%3.93-
2Motherwell to win18%5.43-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals18%5.54-
AH2 -1.5Motherwell -1.5 (Asian Handicap)6%15.52-

ST Johnstone vs Motherwell preview & analysis

Match preview

ST Johnstone host Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 11) at McDiarmid Park on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

ST Johnstone arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Aberdeen 1-0 away. They're 5th in the table with 11 points from 8 games. Motherwell are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Celtic 0-2 at home. They're 9th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, ST Johnstone have won 2, Motherwell have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes ST Johnstone narrow favourites: ST Johnstone 44%, draw 38%, Motherwell 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.

Our tip

This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is ST Johnstone 1-0 Motherwell.

Recent form

ST Johnstone logoST Johnstone
WDLWD
  • 11 OctAAberdeen1-0
  • 19 SeptHFalkirk1-1
  • 9 SeptHCeltic0-1
  • 6 SeptHHibernian2-1
  • 2 SeptADundee1-1
Motherwell logoMotherwell
LLLLW
  • 11 OctHCeltic0-2
  • 19 SeptADundee1-2
  • 15 SeptHAberdeen0-4
  • 5 SeptARangers0-1
  • 2 SeptHDundee Utd3-0

Head to head

16/08/2025ST Johnstone0-1Motherwell
26/04/2025Motherwell3-2ST Johnstone
25/01/2025ST Johnstone2-1Motherwell
18/01/2025ST Johnstone1-0Motherwell
09/11/2024Motherwell2-1ST Johnstone
31/08/2024ST Johnstone1-2Motherwell

Scottish Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic logoCeltic8701+1221
2Rangers logoRangers8611+619
3Heart Of Midlothian logoHeart Of Midlothian8512+1116
4Dundee logoDundee8413+313
5ST Johnstone logoST Johnstone8323011
6Dundee Utd logoDundee Utd8323-111
7ST Mirren logoST Mirren8314-610
8Aberdeen logoAberdeen8224-28
9Motherwell logoMotherwell8224-48
10Hibernian logoHibernian8215-47
11Falkirk logoFalkirk8134-46
12Kilmarnock logoKilmarnock8125-115

ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: FAQ

What is the ST Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction?

+

Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1-0 Motherwell.

Who is the favourite to win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

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ST Johnstone are favourites. Our model gives ST Johnstone a 44% chance of winning, Motherwell 18%, and the draw 38%.

Will both teams score in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.

When does ST Johnstone vs Motherwell kick off?

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ST Johnstone vs Motherwell kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at McDiarmid Park, Perth.

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