Scottish Premiership· Regular Season - 11· Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen
Falkirk28 Oct
Aberdeen vs Falkirk Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Aberdeen vs Falkirk tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Falkirk +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Aberdeen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Falkirk or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XAberdeen or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 2Falkirk to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Aberdeen to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Falkirk -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Aberdeen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.05 | - |
Aberdeen vs Falkirk preview & analysis
Match preview
Aberdeen host Falkirk in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 11) at Pittodrie Stadium on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Aberdeen arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to ST Johnstone 0-1 at home. They're 8th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Falkirk arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Dundee 1-2 at home. They're 11th in the table with 6 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Aberdeen have won 0, Falkirk have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Falkirk narrow favourites: Aberdeen 23%, draw 38%, Falkirk 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Aberdeen 0-1 Falkirk.
Recent form
Aberdeen- 11 OctHST Johnstone0-1
- 3 OctADunfermline4-1
- 19 SeptAHibernian1-1
- 15 SeptAMotherwell4-0
- 12 SeptAKilmarnock1-1
Falkirk- 10 OctHDundee1-2
- 19 SeptAST Johnstone1-1
- 15 SeptHHeart Of Midlothian2-1
- 5 SeptADundee Utd1-1
- 2 SeptHRangers1-2
Head to head
Scottish Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  ST Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 |  ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: FAQ
What is the Aberdeen vs Falkirk prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Aberdeen 0-1 Falkirk.
Who is the favourite to win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
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Falkirk are favourites. Our model gives Aberdeen a 23% chance of winning, Falkirk 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Aberdeen vs Falkirk kick off?
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Aberdeen vs Falkirk kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen.
