Scottish Premiership· Regular Season - 11· Dens Park
Dundee
Kilmarnock28 Oct
Dundee vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Dundee vs Kilmarnock tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Dundee +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| 1XDundee or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Kilmarnock +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.34 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| X2Kilmarnock or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Dundee to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Dundee -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 3.93 | - |
| 2Kilmarnock to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Kilmarnock -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.52 | - |
Dundee vs Kilmarnock preview & analysis
Match preview
Dundee host Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 11) at Dens Park on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Dundee arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Falkirk 2-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 13 points from 8 games. Kilmarnock arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Rangers 1-3 away. They're 12th in the table with 5 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Dundee have won 2, Kilmarnock have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Dundee narrow favourites: Dundee 44%, draw 38%, Kilmarnock 18%. We expect around 2.2 goals (1.4 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Dundee 1-0 Kilmarnock.
Recent form
Dundee- 10 OctAFalkirk2-1
- 19 SeptHMotherwell2-1
- 6 SeptAHeart Of Midlothian1-2
- 2 SeptHST Johnstone1-1
- 30 AugHHibernian1-2
Kilmarnock- 10 OctARangers1-3
- 19 SeptHHeart Of Midlothian1-1
- 15 SeptAHibernian1-0
- 12 SeptHAberdeen1-1
- 5 SeptAAberdeen0-0
Head to head
Scottish Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  ST Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 |  ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 |  Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: FAQ
What is the Dundee vs Kilmarnock prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Dundee 1-0 Kilmarnock.
Who is the favourite to win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
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Dundee are favourites. Our model gives Dundee a 44% chance of winning, Kilmarnock 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Dundee vs Kilmarnock kick off?
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Dundee vs Kilmarnock kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Dens Park, Dundee.
