J1 League· Regular Season - 11· IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Shimizu S-pulse
Machida Zelvia21 Oct
Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Machida Zelvia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Machida Zelvia or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Shimizu S-pulse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XShimizu S-pulse or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Machida Zelvia to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Machida Zelvia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Shimizu S-pulse to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Shimizu S-pulse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.45 | - |
Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia preview & analysis
Match preview
Shimizu S-pulse host Machida Zelvia in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Shimizu S-pulse arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 away. They're 10th in the table with 13 points from 9 games. Machida Zelvia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Tampines Rovers 1-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 20 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Shimizu S-pulse have won 3, Machida Zelvia have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Machida Zelvia narrow favourites: Shimizu S-pulse 23%, draw 38%, Machida Zelvia 39%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 Machida Zelvia.
Recent form
Shimizu S-pulse- 14 OctAYokohama F. Marinos1-2
- 11 OctAMito Hollyhock2-1
- 7 OctHV-varen Nagasaki2-1
- 29 SeptAKanazawa2-0
- 19 SeptHJEF United Chiba2-1
Machida Zelvia- 15 OctATampines Rovers1-0
- 10 OctAKyoto Sanga1-0
- 3 OctHKyoto Sanga0-0
- 23 SeptHTochigi City2-1
- 20 SeptHKashiwa Reysol2-4
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia: FAQ
What is the Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 Machida Zelvia.
Who is the favourite to win Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
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Machida Zelvia are favourites. Our model gives Shimizu S-pulse a 23% chance of winning, Machida Zelvia 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia kick off?
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Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka.
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