Champions League· League Stage - 3· Allianz Arena
Bayern München
Arsenal21 Oct
Bayern München vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bayern München vs Arsenal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Arsenal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Arsenal or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Bayern München +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XBayern München or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Arsenal to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Arsenal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Bayern München to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bayern München -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Bayern München vs Arsenal preview & analysis
Match preview
Bayern München host Arsenal in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at Allianz Arena on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bayern München arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Viking 3-3 away. They're 10th in the table with 4 points from 2 games. Arsenal arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Lille 3-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 6 points from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bayern München have won 2, Arsenal have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Arsenal narrow favourites: Bayern München 23%, draw 38%, Arsenal 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bayern München 1-2 Arsenal.
Recent form
Bayern München- 13 OctAViking3-3
- 10 OctAFC Augsburg2-2
- 18 SeptHUnion Berlin7-0
- 13 SeptASV Elversberg2-1
- 10 SeptHBodo/Glimt5-0
Arsenal- 13 OctHLille3-0
- 10 OctHLeeds2-1
- 19 SeptABrighton0-3
- 15 SeptAIpswich4-2
- 12 SeptASunderland2-0
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |  Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 11 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
Bayern München vs Arsenal: FAQ
What is the Bayern München vs Arsenal prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Bayern München 1-2 Arsenal.
Who is the favourite to win Bayern München vs Arsenal?
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Arsenal are favourites. Our model gives Bayern München a 23% chance of winning, Arsenal 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Bayern München vs Arsenal?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bayern München vs Arsenal kick off?
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Bayern München vs Arsenal kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Allianz Arena, Munich.
