J1 League· Regular Season - 11· Ajinomoto Stadium
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol21 Oct
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5FC Tokyo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Kashiwa Reysol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.29 | - |
| 1XFC Tokyo or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Kashiwa Reysol or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.61 | - |
| 1FC Tokyo to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Kashiwa Reysol to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Tokyo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.41 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Kashiwa Reysol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.70 | - |
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Tokyo host Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at Ajinomoto Stadium on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Tokyo arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 1. Most recently they lost to Mito Hollyhock 0-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 20 points from 9 games. Kashiwa Reysol arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Port FC 5-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 21 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, FC Tokyo have won 1, Kashiwa Reysol have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes FC Tokyo narrow favourites: FC Tokyo 38%, draw 32%, Kashiwa Reysol 30%. We expect around 3.1 goals (1.7 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Tokyo 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol.
Recent form
FC Tokyo- 14 OctAMito Hollyhock0-1
- 10 OctHUrawa3-0
- 7 OctHShonan Bellmare4-0
- 29 SeptAEhime FC2-0
- 19 SeptHNagoya Grampus1-0
Kashiwa Reysol- 14 OctHPort FC5-1
- 9 OctHVissel Kobe4-2
- 3 OctHGamba Osaka5-4
- 23 SeptHImabari4-0
- 20 SeptAMachida Zelvia4-2
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol: FAQ
What is the FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol.
Who is the favourite to win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
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FC Tokyo are favourites. Our model gives FC Tokyo a 38% chance of winning, Kashiwa Reysol 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol kick off?
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FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo.
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