J1 League· Regular Season - 11· City Light Stadium
Fagiano Okayama
Mito Hollyhock21 Oct
Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Fagiano Okayama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XFagiano Okayama or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Mito Hollyhock +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Mito Hollyhock or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Fagiano Okayama to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Fagiano Okayama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Mito Hollyhock to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Mito Hollyhock -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock preview & analysis
Match preview
Fagiano Okayama host Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at City Light Stadium on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, with kick-off at 10:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Fagiano Okayama arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Nagoya Grampus 3-3 away. They're 9th in the table with 13 points from 9 games. Mito Hollyhock are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat FC Tokyo 1-0 at home. They're 13th in the table with 9 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Fagiano Okayama have won 3, Mito Hollyhock have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fagiano Okayama narrow favourites: Fagiano Okayama 44%, draw 38%, Mito Hollyhock 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Fagiano Okayama 2-1 Mito Hollyhock.
Recent form
Fagiano Okayama- 14 OctANagoya Grampus3-3
- 10 OctAAvispa Fukuoka1-2
- 7 OctHJEF United Chiba1-0
- 29 SeptAConsadole Sapporo2-1
- 19 SeptHKyoto Sanga1-2
Mito Hollyhock- 14 OctHFC Tokyo1-0
- 11 OctHShimizu S-pulse1-2
- 29 SeptAFukushima United7-0
- 19 SeptAYokohama F. Marinos0-2
- 12 SeptHKawasaki Frontale0-1
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock: FAQ
What is the Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 2-1 Mito Hollyhock.
Who is the favourite to win Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
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Fagiano Okayama are favourites. Our model gives Fagiano Okayama a 44% chance of winning, Mito Hollyhock 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock kick off?
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Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock kicks off at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at City Light Stadium, Okayama.
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