Conference League· League Stage - 3· Skonto stadions
Riga
FK Jablonec5 Nov
Riga vs FK Jablonec Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
1.3 - 0.8
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Riga vs FK Jablonec tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Riga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| 1XRiga or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5FK Jablonec +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| X2FK Jablonec or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Riga to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.55 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Riga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.11 | - |
| 2FK Jablonec to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH2 -1.5FK Jablonec -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.06 | - |
Riga vs FK Jablonec preview & analysis
Match preview
Riga host FK Jablonec in the Conference League (League Stage - 3) at Skonto stadions on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Riga arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Kairat Almaty 1-1 at home. They're 22nd in the table with 1 point from 1 game. FK Jablonec arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 2-3 away. They're 23rd in the table with 0 points from 1 game.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Riga narrow favourites: Riga 44%, draw 38%, FK Jablonec 18%. We expect around 2.1 goals (1.3 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Riga 1-0 FK Jablonec.
Recent form
Riga- 15 OctHKairat Almaty1-1
- 10 OctATukums2-0
- 3 OctAAris2-1
- 19 SeptAFS Jelgava1-0
- 15 SeptASuper Nova1-0
FK Jablonec- 15 OctASC Freiburg2-3
- 10 OctAZbrojovka Brno1-0
- 2 OctADukla Praha1-0
- 20 SeptHZlin1-1
- 12 SeptASparta Praha0-2
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Universitatea Craiova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 | Riga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Riga vs FK Jablonec: FAQ
What is the Riga vs FK Jablonec prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Riga 1-0 FK Jablonec.
Who is the favourite to win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
+
Riga are favourites. Our model gives Riga a 44% chance of winning, FK Jablonec 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Riga vs FK Jablonec?
+
We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Riga vs FK Jablonec kick off?
+
Riga vs FK Jablonec kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at Skonto stadions, Riga.
