Europa League· League Stage - 4· National Stadium Vasil Levski
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia5 Nov
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.72
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Jagiellonia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Levski Sofia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.29 | - |
| X2Jagiellonia or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XLevski Sofia or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 | - |
| 2Jagiellonia to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Levski Sofia to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Jagiellonia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.44 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.74 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Levski Sofia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.88 | - |
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia preview & analysis
Match preview
Levski Sofia host Jagiellonia in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at National Stadium Vasil Levski on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Levski Sofia arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with NEC Nijmegen 1-1 away. They're 24th in the table with 1 point from 2 games. Jagiellonia are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Ararat-Armenia 3-1 at home. They're 17th in the table with 3 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Jagiellonia narrow favourites: Levski Sofia 23%, draw 38%, Jagiellonia 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 42% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Levski Sofia 0-1 Jagiellonia.
Recent form
Levski Sofia- 15 OctANEC Nijmegen1-1
- 11 OctACherno More Varna2-0
- 17 SeptHRed Bull Salzburg0-1
- 13 SeptABotev Vratsa0-0
- 9 SeptHCSKA Sofia2-4
Jagiellonia- 15 OctHArarat-Armenia3-1
- 10 OctHGornik Zabrze1-3
- 3 OctHPolonia Warszawa1-2
- 29 SeptHSuduva Marijampole5-0
- 20 SeptHLegia Warszawa1-3
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 |  AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 |  OFI | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 |  Lillestrom | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 25 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: FAQ
What is the Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 0-1 Jagiellonia.
Who is the favourite to win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
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Jagiellonia are favourites. Our model gives Levski Sofia a 23% chance of winning, Jagiellonia 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
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We rate both teams to score at 46%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia kick off?
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Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia.
