Conference League· League Stage - 3· New Balance Arena
Atalanta
Kairat Almaty5 Nov
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
1.2 - 0.6
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atalanta +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| 1XAtalanta or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Kairat Almaty +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.26 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| X2Kairat Almaty or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Atalanta to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.71 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atalanta -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.81 | - |
| 2Kairat Almaty to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 9.20 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Kairat Almaty -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.21 | - |
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty preview & analysis
Match preview
Atalanta host Kairat Almaty in the Conference League (League Stage - 3) at New Balance Arena on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atalanta are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Pafos 3-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 3 points from 1 game. Kairat Almaty arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Riga 1-1 away. They're 18th in the table with 1 point from 1 game.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atalanta narrow favourites: Atalanta 44%, draw 38%, Kairat Almaty 18%. We expect around 1.8 goals (1.2 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 27% for over 2.5 and 33% for both teams to score.
Our tip
At least one of these sides should struggle to score, so we're backing BTTS No. Our pick is Both teams NOT to score, which our model rates at a 67% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Atalanta 1-0 Kairat Almaty.
Recent form
Atalanta- 15 OctHPafos3-1
- 12 OctHVenezia3-1
- 20 SeptAJuventus0-2
- 12 SeptHCagliari1-2
- 5 SeptAAS Roma1-2
Kairat Almaty- 15 OctARiga1-1
- 10 OctHZhetysu1-0
- 17 SeptAFC Astana0-1
- 13 SeptHFK Tobol Kostanay1-4
- 9 SeptHZhenys3-0
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |  Mjallby AIF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |  St. Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |  FC Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty: FAQ
What is the Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams NOT to score. Our predicted score is Atalanta 1-0 Kairat Almaty.
Who is the favourite to win Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
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Atalanta are favourites. Our model gives Atalanta a 44% chance of winning, Kairat Almaty 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty?
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We rate both teams to score at 33%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty kick off?
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Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at New Balance Arena, Bergamo.
