Europa League· League Stage - 4
Lillestrom
Plzen5 Nov
Lillestrom vs Plzen Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lillestrom vs Plzen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lillestrom +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XLillestrom or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Plzen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Plzen or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Lillestrom to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lillestrom -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2Plzen to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Plzen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Lillestrom vs Plzen preview & analysis
Match preview
Lillestrom host Plzen in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lillestrom arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Sparta Praha 1-1 away. They're 23rd in the table with 1 point from 2 games. Plzen are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Ferencvarosi TC 1-2 away. They're 31st in the table with 0 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lillestrom narrow favourites: Lillestrom 44%, draw 38%, Plzen 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Lillestrom 1-0 Plzen.
Recent form
Lillestrom- 15 OctASparta Praha1-1
- 11 OctHMolde2-2
- 1 OctABærum5-1
- 20 SeptAViking0-3
- 17 SeptHTorreense1-2
Plzen- 15 OctAFerencvarosi TC1-2
- 10 OctHMlada Boleslav3-0
- 20 SeptASlavia Praha1-2
- 17 SeptHUnion St. Gilloise0-3
- 13 SeptHSigma Olomouc2-3
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 | Lillestrom | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 24 |  Levski Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 25 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 29 |  Anderlecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Plzen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 |  Marseille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 |  Celtic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Lillestrom vs Plzen: FAQ
What is the Lillestrom vs Plzen prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1-0 Plzen.
Who is the favourite to win Lillestrom vs Plzen?
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Lillestrom are favourites. Our model gives Lillestrom a 44% chance of winning, Plzen 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Plzen?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Lillestrom vs Plzen kick off?
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Lillestrom vs Plzen kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026.
