Conference League· League Stage - 3· MCH Arena
FC Midtjylland
Ajax5 Nov
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More FC Midtjylland vs Ajax tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Ajax +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Ajax or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5FC Midtjylland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XFC Midtjylland or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Ajax to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Ajax -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1FC Midtjylland to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5FC Midtjylland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax preview & analysis
Match preview
FC Midtjylland host Ajax in the Conference League (League Stage - 3) at MCH Arena on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
FC Midtjylland arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 away. They're 16th in the table with 1 point from 1 game. Ajax arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 1-2 away. They're 25th in the table with 0 points from 1 game.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, FC Midtjylland have won 0, Ajax have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ajax narrow favourites: FC Midtjylland 23%, draw 38%, Ajax 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is FC Midtjylland 1-2 Ajax.
Recent form
FC Midtjylland- 15 OctAEgnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
- 11 OctHFC Copenhagen2-1
- 19 SeptAOdense1-1
- 14 SeptHBrondby4-1
- 10 SeptASundby7-0
Ajax- 15 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2
- 10 OctHNEC Nijmegen1-1
- 19 SeptHExcelsior2-2
- 15 SeptHWillem II5-1
- 12 SeptAFortuna Sittard5-1
Head to head
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | FC Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |  Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: FAQ
What is the FC Midtjylland vs Ajax prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is FC Midtjylland 1-2 Ajax.
Who is the favourite to win FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
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Ajax are favourites. Our model gives FC Midtjylland a 23% chance of winning, Ajax 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does FC Midtjylland vs Ajax kick off?
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FC Midtjylland vs Ajax kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at MCH Arena, Herning.
