Port Vale
Chesterfield17 Oct
Port Vale vs Chesterfield Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Port Vale or Draw
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.53
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.4
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Port Vale vs Chesterfield tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Port Vale +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| AH2 +1.5Chesterfield +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.30 |
| X2Chesterfield or Draw | 65% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | 1.65 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 1.92 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | 2.15 |
| 1Port Vale to win | 35% | 2.82 | 2.78 |
| 2Chesterfield to win | 35% | 2.90 | 2.38 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 | 2.97 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.33 | 3.38 |
| AH1 -1.5Port Vale -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.73 | 5.75 |
| AH2 -1.5Chesterfield -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 6.05 | 4.65 |
Port Vale vs Chesterfield odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.38 | - | - | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.78 | 3.38 | 2.36 | 1.81 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 2.13 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 3.38 | 2.34 | 1.81 | 1.92 | 1.64 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.88 | 3.54 | 2.36 | 1.84 | 1.98 | - | - |
Port Vale vs Chesterfield preview & analysis
Match preview
Port Vale host Chesterfield in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) at Vale Park on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Port Vale arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Grimsby 1-0 at home. They're 22nd in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Chesterfield arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Crawley Town 2-2 away. They're 7th in the table with 15 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Port Vale have won 3, Chesterfield have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Port Vale narrow favourites: Port Vale 35%, draw 30%, Chesterfield 35%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Port Vale should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw for extra safety. Our pick is Port Vale or Draw at 1.52, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield.
Recent form
- 10 OctHGrimsby1-0
- 6 OctHMansfield Town2-0
- 22 SeptAChesterfield1-1
- 19 SeptAWalsall0-2
- 10 OctACrawley Town2-2
- 3 OctHTranmere4-2
- 26 SeptACheltenham1-2
- 22 SeptHPort Vale1-1
- 19 SeptHYork2-0
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 | |
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 | |
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 | |
| 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
Port Vale vs Chesterfield: FAQ
What is the Port Vale vs Chesterfield prediction?
+
Our tip is Port Vale or Draw at odds of 1.52. Our predicted score is Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield.
Who is the favourite to win Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
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Port Vale are favourites. Our model gives Port Vale a 35% chance of winning, Chesterfield 35%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Port Vale vs Chesterfield kick off?
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Port Vale vs Chesterfield kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent.
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