League Two· Regular Season - 11· The Crown Ground
Accrington ST
Gillingham17 Oct
Accrington ST vs Gillingham Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Gillingham or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
More Accrington ST vs Gillingham tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Accrington ST +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | 1.07 |
| AH2 +1.5Gillingham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| 1XAccrington ST or Draw | 66% | 1.52 | 1.40 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.79 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.15 | 2.10 |
| 1Accrington ST to win | 36% | 2.82 | 2.40 |
| 2Gillingham to win | 34% | 2.91 | 2.90 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.33 | 3.50 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.62 | 3.34 |
| AH1 -1.5Accrington ST -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.91 | 4.50 |
| AH2 -1.5Gillingham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.27 | 5.95 |
Accrington ST vs Gillingham odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.44 | 2.84 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.75 | 1.97 |
| Dafabet | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.90 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 3.44 | 2.82 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.75 | 1.94 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.90 | 1.80 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.88 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.53 | 2.87 | 2.00 | 1.80 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.01 | 2.57 | 1.84 | 1.92 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.55 | 2.85 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
Accrington ST vs Gillingham preview & analysis
Match preview
Accrington ST host Gillingham in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) at The Crown Ground on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Accrington ST arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Oldham 0-0 away. They're 15th in the table with 11 points from 10 games. Gillingham arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Most recently they beat Brighton U21 4-3 at home. They're 4th in the table with 16 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Accrington ST have won 1, Gillingham have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Accrington ST narrow favourites: Accrington ST 36%, draw 30%, Gillingham 34%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 49% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Gillingham should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Gillingham or Draw at 1.60, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Accrington ST 1-0 Gillingham.
Recent form
Accrington ST- 10 OctAOldham0-0
- 6 OctHSalford City1-1
- 3 OctHCheltenham2-0
- 26 SeptASwindon Town1-1
- 22 SeptHSunderland U213-3
Gillingham- 13 OctHBrighton U214-3
- 10 OctARotherham4-1
- 3 OctHNewport County0-0
- 26 SeptAYork0-3
- 22 SeptHCambridge United1-4
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
Accrington ST vs Gillingham: FAQ
What is the Accrington ST vs Gillingham prediction?
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Our tip is Gillingham or Draw at odds of 1.60. Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1-0 Gillingham.
Who is the favourite to win Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
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Accrington ST are favourites. Our model gives Accrington ST a 36% chance of winning, Gillingham 34%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Accrington ST vs Gillingham kick off?
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Accrington ST vs Gillingham kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at The Crown Ground, Accrington.
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