League Two· Regular Season - 11· Alexandra Stadium
Crewe
Rochdale17 Oct
Crewe vs Rochdale Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.85
Expected goals
1.8 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
More Crewe vs Rochdale tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Crewe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| 1XCrewe or Draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| AH2 +1.5Rochdale +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | 1.28 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.81 |
| X2Rochdale or Draw | 51% | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 1Crewe to win | 49% | 2.02 | 1.90 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 1.92 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.18 | 2.10 |
| AH1 -1.5Crewe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.09 | 3.08 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 | 2.92 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.45 | 3.70 |
| 2Rochdale to win | 22% | 4.63 | 3.99 |
| AH2 -1.5Rochdale -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.92 | 8.70 |
Crewe vs Rochdale odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.80 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.54 | 3.99 | 1.81 | 1.92 | 1.71 | 2.02 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.95 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.54 | 3.98 | 1.81 | 1.92 | 1.71 | 1.99 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.80 | 1.90 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.51 | 4.16 | 1.88 | 1.91 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.13 | 3.35 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.60 | 4.10 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
Crewe vs Rochdale preview & analysis
Match preview
Crewe host Rochdale in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) at Alexandra Stadium on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Crewe arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Swindon Town 1-0 away. They're 3rd in the table with 18 points from 10 games. Rochdale arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Most recently they drew with Tranmere 1-1 away. They're 10th in the table with 14 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Crewe have won 2, Rochdale have won 0 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Crewe favourites: Crewe 49%, draw 29%, Rochdale 22%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.71, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Crewe 1-0 Rochdale.
Recent form
Crewe- 10 OctASwindon Town1-0
- 6 OctABlackpool2-2
- 3 OctHBristol Rovers3-1
- 26 SeptARotherham1-1
- 22 SeptHAston Villa U214-1
Rochdale- 10 OctATranmere1-1
- 6 OctAHuddersfield0-5
- 3 OctHSwindon Town1-0
- 26 SeptAFleetwood Town2-1
- 22 SeptHLiverpool U213-3
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
Crewe vs Rochdale: FAQ
What is the Crewe vs Rochdale prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.71. Our predicted score is Crewe 1-0 Rochdale.
Who is the favourite to win Crewe vs Rochdale?
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Crewe are favourites. Our model gives Crewe a 49% chance of winning, Rochdale 22%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Crewe vs Rochdale?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Crewe vs Rochdale kick off?
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Crewe vs Rochdale kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Alexandra Stadium, Crewe.
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