Liga I· Regular Season - 12· Stadionul Ilie Oana
Petrolul Ploiesti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe17 Oct
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
More Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Petrolul Ploiesti +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | 1.04 |
| 1XPetrolul Ploiesti or Draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| AH2 +1.5Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.34 | 1.19 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| X2Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe or Draw | 56% | 1.79 | 1.68 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 52% | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 48% | 2.07 | 1.91 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 2.02 |
| 1Petrolul Ploiesti to win | 44% | 2.26 | 2.10 |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | 3.34 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.75 | 3.42 |
| AH1 -1.5Petrolul Ploiesti -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| 2Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win | 25% | 3.99 | 3.40 |
| AH2 -1.5Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.19 | 7.10 |
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.30 | - | - | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.34 | 3.36 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.81 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.08 | 3.25 | 3.40 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.34 | 3.34 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.81 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | - | - |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.94 | 1.74 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.39 | 3.43 | 2.00 | 1.79 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.11 | 2.84 | 2.89 | 2.02 | 1.78 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.25 | 2.02 | 1.85 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe preview & analysis
Match preview
Petrolul Ploiesti host Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in the Liga I (Regular Season - 12) at Stadionul Ilie Oana on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Petrolul Ploiesti arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Farul Constanta 1-3 away. They're 4th in the table with 19 points from 11 games. Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Dinamo Bucuresti 0-2 at home. They're 11th in the table with 13 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Petrolul Ploiesti have won 2, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Petrolul Ploiesti narrow favourites: Petrolul Ploiesti 44%, draw 31%, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 25%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.5 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 47% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
Recent form
Petrolul Ploiesti- 11 OctAFarul Constanta1-3
- 3 OctAChindia Targoviste0-1
- 2 OctHCS Afumati3-2
- 21 SeptHCsikszereda2-0
- 14 SeptAFCSB2-2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe- 9 OctHDinamo Bucuresti0-2
- 26 SeptHGloria Bistriţa1-1
- 18 SeptAUta Arad0-1
- 12 SeptHCFR 1907 Cluj3-1
- 5 SeptAFC Botosani0-5
Head to head
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Bucuresti | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +18 | 26 |
| 2 |  Rapid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Universitatea Craiova | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Universitatea Cluj | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 6 |  Farul Constanta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  CFR 1907 Cluj | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 |  FCSB | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  FC Botosani | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 |  Uta Arad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arges Pitesti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  Oţelul | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |  FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 |  Csikszereda | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -18 | 1 |
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: FAQ
What is the Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.73. Our predicted score is Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
Who is the favourite to win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
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Petrolul Ploiesti are favourites. Our model gives Petrolul Ploiesti a 44% chance of winning, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 25%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
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We rate both teams to score at 52%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe kick off?
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Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe kicks off at 14:15 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Stadionul Ilie Oana, Ploiesti.
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