Brasileirão· Regular Season - 30· Nubank Parque
Palmeiras
Corinthians4-1
FT
Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
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More Palmeiras vs Corinthians tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Palmeiras +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.04 | - |
| 1XPalmeiras or Draw | 85% | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| AH2 +1.5Corinthians +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.58 | 1.40 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 | 1.70 |
| 1Palmeiras to win | 56% | 1.79 | 1.64 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.70 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 44% | 2.27 | 2.10 |
| X2Corinthians or Draw | 44% | 2.27 | 2.28 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 | 2.20 |
| AH1 -1.5Palmeiras -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.71 | 3.07 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.46 | 3.85 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.26 | 3.80 |
| 2Corinthians to win | 15% | 6.59 | 6.13 |
| AH2 -1.5Corinthians -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 28.00 | - |
Palmeiras vs Corinthians odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.50 | - | - | 2.05 | 1.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.71 | 6.13 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.66 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 3.85 | 5.80 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.50 | 6.25 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 2.05 | 1.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 3.60 | 5.95 | 2.14 | 1.66 | 2.10 | 1.64 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.50 | 6.00 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.75 | 2.10 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 3.66 | 6.24 | 2.27 | 1.67 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.41 | 4.94 | 2.11 | 1.74 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.85 | 6.10 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 2.12 | 1.67 |
Palmeiras vs Corinthians preview & analysis
Match preview
Palmeiras host Corinthians in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 30) at Nubank Parque on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Palmeiras arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Bahia 1-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 63 points from 30 games. Corinthians are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Internacional 1-2 away. They're 16th in the table with 32 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Palmeiras have won 2, Corinthians have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Palmeiras favourites: Palmeiras 56%, draw 29%, Corinthians 15%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 44% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Palmeiras- 9 OctHBahia1-0
- 20 SeptAGremio0-0
- 16 SeptALDU de Quito2-3
- 12 SeptHSao Paulo2-0
- 9 SeptHLDU de Quito1-0
Corinthians- 7 OctAInternacional1-2
- 20 SeptHFluminense1-3
- 17 SeptHEstudiantes L.P.0-1
- 13 SeptAFlamengo1-2
- 10 SeptAEstudiantes L.P.1-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Palmeiras vs Corinthians: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
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Palmeiras are favourites. Our model gives Palmeiras a 56% chance of winning, Corinthians 15%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
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We rate both teams to score at 44%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Palmeiras vs Corinthians kick off?
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Palmeiras vs Corinthians kicks off at 20:30 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo.
