Brasileirão· Regular Season - 30· Estádio do Maracanã
Flamengo
Fluminense1-0
FT
Flamengo vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
Get notified
Kick-off reminders with our tip, final results and new expert analyses, straight to your browser.
Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Flamengo vs Fluminense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.03 | - |
| 1XFlamengo or Draw | 86% | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | 1.35 |
| 1Flamengo to win | 60% | 1.67 | 1.54 |
| AH2 +1.5Fluminense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 55% | 1.83 | 1.59 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 50% | 1.99 | 1.85 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 50% | 2.01 | 1.86 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | 2.06 |
| AH1 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 45% | 2.20 | 2.43 |
| X2Fluminense or Draw | 40% | 2.49 | 2.52 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | 2.74 |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.87 | 4.40 |
| 2Fluminense to win | 14% | 7.02 | 6.40 |
| AH2 -1.5Fluminense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 34.12 | - |
Flamengo vs Fluminense odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.90 | 6.00 | - | - | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.33 | 6.24 | 1.80 | 2.06 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.40 | 6.40 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 4.20 | 6.05 | 1.75 | 2.01 | 1.84 | 1.84 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.20 | 6.00 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.32 | 6.65 | 1.80 | 2.07 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.45 | 3.85 | 5.61 | 1.81 | 2.03 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.25 | 6.90 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.82 | 1.93 |
Flamengo vs Fluminense preview & analysis
Match preview
Flamengo host Fluminense in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 30) at Estádio do Maracanã on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Flamengo arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Santos 2-2 away. They're 1st in the table with 64 points from 30 games. Fluminense arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Coritiba 4-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 51 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Flamengo have won 2, Fluminense have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo favourites: Flamengo 60%, draw 26%, Fluminense 14%. We expect around 2.8 goals (2.1 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 50% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Flamengo- 8 OctASantos2-2
- 20 SeptHRB Bragantino2-1
- 18 SeptHIndependiente del Valle1-1
- 13 SeptHCorinthians2-1
- 11 SeptAIndependiente del Valle2-0
Fluminense- 9 OctHCoritiba4-0
- 20 SeptACorinthians3-1
- 15 SeptAPlatense1-2
- 12 SeptAAtletico-MG1-3
- 8 SeptHPlatense2-0
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Flamengo vs Fluminense: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Flamengo vs Fluminense?
+
Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Flamengo a 60% chance of winning, Fluminense 14%, and the draw 26%.
Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Fluminense?
+
We rate both teams to score at 50%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Flamengo vs Fluminense kick off?
+
Flamengo vs Fluminense kicks off at 20:30 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.
