Brasileirão· Regular Season - 30· Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia
Mirassol1-0
FT
Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Bahia vs Mirassol tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bahia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | 1.02 |
| 1XBahia or Draw | 78% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | 1.43 |
| AH2 +1.5Mirassol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 62% | 1.61 | 1.45 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 | 1.66 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.74 | 1.62 |
| 1Bahia to win | 53% | 1.88 | 1.71 |
| X2Mirassol or Draw | 47% | 2.14 | 2.19 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.35 | 2.20 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 | 2.28 |
| AH1 -1.5Bahia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 38% | 2.63 | 2.85 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 | 2.46 |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.96 | 4.18 |
| 2Mirassol to win | 22% | 4.64 | 4.80 |
| AH2 -1.5Mirassol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.68 | 8.70 |
Bahia vs Mirassol odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.40 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 4.18 | 4.74 | 1.66 | 2.28 | 1.62 | 2.17 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 4.10 | 4.80 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.25 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 4.05 | 4.60 | 1.62 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.14 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 1.58 | 2.19 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 4.23 | 4.84 | 1.63 | 2.34 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.67 | 4.21 | 1.63 | 2.26 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.05 | 5.00 | 1.65 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.22 |
Bahia vs Mirassol preview & analysis
Match preview
Bahia host Mirassol in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 30) at Arena Fonte Nova on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bahia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 0-1 away. They're 5th in the table with 49 points from 30 games. Mirassol arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with RB Bragantino 1-1 away. They're 15th in the table with 33 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Bahia have won 1, Mirassol have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.7 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bahia favourites: Bahia 53%, draw 25%, Mirassol 22%. We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Bahia- 9 OctAPalmeiras0-1
- 20 SeptAAtletico Paranaense1-2
- 15 SeptHRemo2-1
- 5 SeptARB Bragantino3-2
- 30 AugHInternacional3-2
Mirassol- 7 OctARB Bragantino1-1
- 27 SeptAUberlandia4-0
- 19 SeptHBotafogo2-0
- 13 SeptHVitoria2-2
- 6 SeptACoritiba2-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Bahia vs Mirassol: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Bahia vs Mirassol?
+
Bahia are favourites. Our model gives Bahia a 53% chance of winning, Mirassol 22%, and the draw 25%.
Will both teams score in Bahia vs Mirassol?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bahia vs Mirassol kick off?
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Bahia vs Mirassol kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Arena Fonte Nova, El Salvador.
