Brasileirão· Regular Season - 30· Arena MRV
Atletico-MG
Santos2-1
FT
Atletico-MG vs Santos Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Atletico-MG vs Santos tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atletico-MG +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| AH2 +1.5Santos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| 1XAtletico-MG or Draw | 68% | 1.46 | 1.35 |
| X2Santos or Draw | 62% | 1.62 | 1.69 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.02 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.32 | 2.15 |
| 1Atletico-MG to win | 38% | 2.61 | 2.20 |
| 2Santos to win | 32% | 3.17 | 3.30 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.19 | 2.83 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.32 | 3.54 |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico-MG -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.87 | 3.85 |
| AH2 -1.5Santos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 7.06 | 6.50 |
Atletico-MG vs Santos odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 | - | - | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.54 | 3.28 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.63 | 2.14 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.30 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.44 | 3.18 | 1.78 | 1.97 | 1.63 | 2.11 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.51 | 3.34 | 1.83 | 2.06 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.14 | 2.90 | 1.81 | 2.03 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.35 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Atletico-MG vs Santos preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico-MG host Santos in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 30) at Arena MRV on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atletico-MG arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Atletico Paranaense 2-2 away. They're 7th in the table with 47 points from 30 games. Santos arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Flamengo 2-2 at home. They're 8th in the table with 42 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico-MG have won 2, Santos have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico-MG narrow favourites: Atletico-MG 38%, draw 30%, Santos 32%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Atletico-MG- 9 OctAAtletico Paranaense2-2
- 3 OctHRB Bragantino1-0
- 19 SeptHChapecoense-sc1-1
- 16 SeptHSantos4-2
- 12 SeptHFluminense3-1
Santos- 8 OctHFlamengo2-2
- 3 OctASao Paulo2-1
- 19 SeptARemo2-1
- 16 SeptAAtletico-MG2-4
- 13 SeptHCruzeiro2-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Atletico-MG vs Santos: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atletico-MG vs Santos?
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Atletico-MG are favourites. Our model gives Atletico-MG a 38% chance of winning, Santos 32%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Atletico-MG vs Santos?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atletico-MG vs Santos kick off?
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Atletico-MG vs Santos kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta.
