League Two· Regular Season - 11· Rodney Parade

Newport County

WDDWW

York

DWDLL

15:00

17 Oct

Newport County vs York Prediction & Betting Tips

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off 15:00

Our prediction

Both teams to score

Medium· 58%

Predicted score

1-2

Fair odds

1.74

Expected goals

1.2 - 1.7

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Fan vote

Voting closed at kick-off

Who will win?

Votes: 0

How many goals?

Votes: 0

Match probabilities

29%Newport County

28%Draw

43%York

Over 2.5 goals55%

Under 2.5 goals45%

Both teams to score58%

Clean sheet either side42%

More Newport County vs York tips

Selection	Probability	Fair odds	Best odds
AH2 +1.5York +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	89%	1.13	1.03
AH1 +1.5Newport County +1.5 (Asian Handicap)	74%	1.34	1.25
X2York or Draw	71%	1.40	1.25
U3.5Under 3.5 goals	65%	1.53	1.38
1XNewport County or Draw	57%	1.75	1.81
O2.5Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.81	1.69
U2.5Under 2.5 goals	45%	2.24	2.08
2York to win	43%	2.33	1.91
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score	42%	2.36	2.20
O3.5Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.88	2.62
1Newport County to win	29%	3.50	3.60
XDraw	28%	3.52	3.64
AH2 -1.5York -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	26%	3.92	3.28
AH1 -1.5Newport County -1.5 (Asian Handicap)	11%	8.77	7.50

Newport County vs York odds comparison

Best price in each market highlighted.

Bookmaker	1	X	2	O2.5	U2.5	BTTS	No BTTS
William Hill	3.50	3.50	1.91	-	-	1.60	2.20
1xBet	3.60	3.64	1.90	1.69	2.08	1.61	2.18
Bet365	3.75	3.60	1.91	1.70	2.10	1.62	2.20
Marathonbet	3.58	3.64	1.88	1.69	2.08	1.61	2.15
BetVictor	3.70	3.70	1.91	1.67	2.04	1.60	2.20
Pinnacle	3.59	3.84	1.93	1.70	2.16	-	-

Newport County vs York preview & analysis

Match preview

Newport County host York in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) at Rodney Parade on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Newport County arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Colchester 1-0 at home. They're 12th in the table with 13 points from 10 games. York arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Northampton 1-1 at home. They're 5th in the table with 15 points from 9 games.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Newport County have won 4, York have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes York narrow favourites: Newport County 29%, draw 28%, York 43%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.

Our tip

Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.61, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Newport County 1-2 York.

Recent form

Newport County

WDDWW

10 OctHColchester1-0
6 OctHPlymouth2-2
3 OctAGillingham0-0
26 SeptHGrimsby2-1
22 SeptASwindon Town2-0

York

DWDLL

10 OctHNorthampton1-1
26 SeptHGillingham3-0
22 SeptHRotherham1-1
19 SeptAChesterfield0-2
15 SeptHNewcastle United U211-3

Head to head

16/01/2016York0-1Newport County

05/09/2015Newport County0-3York

25/04/2015York0-2Newport County

11/10/2014Newport County3-1York

26/04/2014York1-0Newport County

19/10/2013Newport County3-0York

League Two table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	10	6	1	3	+5	19
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	+5	18
4	Gillingham	10	4	4	2	+5	16
5	York	9	4	3	2	+6	15
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	+6	15
7	Chesterfield	10	4	3	3	+3	15
10	Rochdale	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Grimsby	10	3	4	3	+2	13
12	Newport County	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Tranmere	10	2	6	2	0	12
14	Exeter City	10	3	3	4	0	12