MLS· Regular Season - 27· Sports Illustrated Stadium
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City0-3
FT
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5St. Louis City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2St. Louis City or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5New York Red Bulls +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.41 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XNew York Red Bulls or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| 2St. Louis City to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5St. Louis City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.45 | - |
| 1New York Red Bulls to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5New York Red Bulls -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.94 | - |
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City preview & analysis
Match preview
New York Red Bulls host St. Louis City in the MLS (Regular Season - 27) at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Thursday, 1 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
New York Red Bulls arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat New York City FC 1-0 away. St. Louis City arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Toronto FC 3-1 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 51 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, New York Red Bulls have won 1, St. Louis City have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes St. Louis City narrow favourites: New York Red Bulls 23%, draw 38%, St. Louis City 39%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Recent form
New York Red Bulls- 19 SeptANew York City FC1-0
- 13 SeptAColumbus Crew1-0
- 10 SeptALos Angeles FC0-2
St. Louis City- 20 SeptHToronto FC3-1
- 17 SeptAColorado Rapids3-0
- 13 SeptHMinnesota United FC4-2
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 52 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 45 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 |  Austin | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 22 |
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
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St. Louis City are favourites. Our model gives New York Red Bulls a 23% chance of winning, St. Louis City 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City kick off?
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New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Thursday, 1 October 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.
