Nations League· League A - 3· Allianz Arena
Germany
Serbia2-0
FT
Germany vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Germany vs Serbia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Serbia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Germany +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Serbia or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| 1XGermany or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 2Serbia to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Germany to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Serbia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.25 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Germany -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.24 | - |
Germany vs Serbia preview & analysis
Match preview
Germany host Serbia in the Nations League (League A - 3) at Allianz Arena on Thursday, 1 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Germany arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Greece 0-1 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 5 points from 4 games. Serbia are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Netherlands 1-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Germany have won 0, Serbia have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Serbia narrow favourites: Germany 23%, draw 38%, Serbia 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 39% for over 2.5 and 44% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Germany- 27 SeptHGreece0-1
- 24 SeptANetherlands1-1
- 29 JunHParaguay1-1
- 25 JunAEcuador1-2
Serbia- 27 SeptHNetherlands1-2
- 24 SeptHGreece1-2
- 5 JunAMexico1-5
- 31 MayACape Verde Islands0-3
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
Germany vs Serbia: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Germany vs Serbia?
+
Serbia are favourites. Our model gives Germany a 23% chance of winning, Serbia 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Germany vs Serbia?
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We rate both teams to score at 44%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Germany vs Serbia kick off?
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Germany vs Serbia kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Thursday, 1 October 2026 at Allianz Arena, Munich.
