Nations League· League A - 3· Cardiff City Stadium
Wales
Norway2-1
FT
Wales vs Norway Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Wales vs Norway tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Norway +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Norway or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Wales +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| 1XWales or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| 2Norway to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Norway -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| 1Wales to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Wales -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.61 | - |
Wales vs Norway preview & analysis
Match preview
Wales host Norway in the Nations League (League A - 3) at Cardiff City Stadium on Thursday, 1 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Wales are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Denmark 0-2 away. They're 3rd in the table with 3 points from 4 games. Norway arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Portugal 1-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 3 points from 4 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Norway narrow favourites: Wales 23%, draw 38%, Norway 39%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.4 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 67% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Wales- 27 SeptADenmark0-2
- 24 SeptAPortugal0-1
- 6 JunARomania1-2
- 2 JunHGhana1-1
Norway- 27 SeptHPortugal1-2
- 24 SeptHDenmark3-2
- 11 JulHEngland1-2
- 5 JulABrazil2-1
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Wales vs Norway: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Wales vs Norway?
+
Norway are favourites. Our model gives Wales a 23% chance of winning, Norway 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Wales vs Norway?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Wales vs Norway kick off?
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Wales vs Norway kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Thursday, 1 October 2026 at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
