Nations League· League A - 3· Parken Stadium
Denmark
Portugal2-4
FT
Denmark vs Portugal Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Denmark vs Portugal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Portugal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Portugal or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Denmark +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XDenmark or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 54% | 1.84 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.18 | - |
| 2Portugal to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Portugal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.88 | - |
| 1Denmark to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Denmark -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.77 | - |
Denmark vs Portugal preview & analysis
Match preview
Denmark host Portugal in the Nations League (League A - 3) at Parken Stadium on Thursday, 1 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Denmark arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Wales 2-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 6 points from 4 games. Portugal arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Norway 2-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 12 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Denmark have won 1, Portugal have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Portugal narrow favourites: Denmark 23%, draw 38%, Portugal 39%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 52% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Denmark- 27 SeptHWales2-0
- 24 SeptANorway2-3
- 7 JunHUkraine2-1
- 3 JunACongo DR0-0
Portugal- 27 SeptANorway2-1
- 24 SeptHWales1-0
- 6 JulHSpain0-1
- 3 JulHCroatia2-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Denmark vs Portugal: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Denmark vs Portugal?
+
Portugal are favourites. Our model gives Denmark a 23% chance of winning, Portugal 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Denmark vs Portugal?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Denmark vs Portugal kick off?
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Denmark vs Portugal kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Thursday, 1 October 2026 at Parken Stadium, Copenhagen.
