Nations League· League A - 3· Toumba Stadium
Greece
Netherlands2-2
FT
Greece vs Netherlands Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Greece vs Netherlands tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Greece +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Netherlands +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.21 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| 1XGreece or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Netherlands or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | - |
| 1Greece to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Netherlands to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.25 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Greece -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.71 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Netherlands -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.46 | - |
Greece vs Netherlands preview & analysis
Match preview
Greece host Netherlands in the Nations League (League A - 3) at Toumba Stadium on Thursday, 1 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Greece arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Germany 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 8 points from 4 games. Netherlands arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Serbia 2-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Greece have won 0, Netherlands have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Greece narrow favourites: Greece 38%, draw 32%, Netherlands 30%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 39% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Greece- 27 SeptAGermany1-0
- 24 SeptASerbia2-1
- 7 JunHItaly0-1
- 4 JunASweden2-2
Netherlands- 27 SeptASerbia2-1
- 24 SeptHGermany1-1
- 30 JunHMorocco1-1
- 26 JunATunisia3-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
Greece vs Netherlands: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Greece vs Netherlands?
+
Greece are favourites. Our model gives Greece a 38% chance of winning, Netherlands 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Greece vs Netherlands?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Greece vs Netherlands kick off?
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Greece vs Netherlands kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Thursday, 1 October 2026 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.
