Eredivisie· Regular Season - 10· Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen25 Oct
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Groningen or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
More NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5NEC Nijmegen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | 1.08 |
| AH2 +1.5Groningen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| 1XNEC Nijmegen or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 | 2.25 |
| 1NEC Nijmegen to win | 40% | 2.50 | 2.10 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 | 2.43 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.80 | 2.63 |
| 2Groningen to win | 32% | 3.10 | 3.22 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.60 | 3.92 |
| AH1 -1.5NEC Nijmegen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.24 | 3.34 |
| AH2 -1.5Groningen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.61 | 5.70 |
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.92 | 3.22 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.43 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.80 | 3.12 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.43 | 2.58 |
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen preview & analysis
Match preview
NEC Nijmegen host Groningen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) at Goffertstadion on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
NEC Nijmegen arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Most recently they drew with Levski Sofia 1-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 9 points from 8 games. Groningen arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Excelsior 5-1 away. They're 6th in the table with 14 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, NEC Nijmegen have won 4, Groningen have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes NEC Nijmegen narrow favourites: NEC Nijmegen 40%, draw 28%, Groningen 32%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.8 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Groningen should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Groningen or Draw at 1.75, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Groningen.
Recent form
NEC Nijmegen- 15 OctHLevski Sofia1-1
- 10 OctAAjax1-1
- 20 SeptHGO Ahead Eagles1-1
- 17 SeptAJuventus0-5
- 12 SeptACambuur0-3
Groningen- 11 OctAExcelsior5-1
- 18 SeptHPEC Zwolle3-0
- 12 SeptAGO Ahead Eagles1-1
- 6 SeptHTwente2-2
- 28 AugHFortuna Sittard2-3
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen: FAQ
What is the NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen prediction?
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Our tip is Groningen or Draw at odds of 1.75. Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Groningen.
Who is the favourite to win NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
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NEC Nijmegen are favourites. Our model gives NEC Nijmegen a 40% chance of winning, Groningen 32%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen kick off?
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NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Goffertstadion, Nijmegen.
