Eredivisie· Regular Season - 10· Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax25 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-2
Fair odds
1.64
Expected goals
0.8 - 2.8
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Match probabilities
More Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Ajax +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| X2Ajax or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| 2Ajax to win | 65% | 1.54 | 1.41 |
| AH2 -1.5Ajax -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 59% | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.92 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 | 1.92 |
| AH1 +1.5Sparta Rotterdam +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 41% | 2.43 | 1.85 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | 2.40 |
| 1XSparta Rotterdam or Draw | 35% | 2.84 | 2.95 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.29 | 2.92 |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| 1Sparta Rotterdam to win | 12% | 8.22 | 6.84 |
| AH1 -1.5Sparta Rotterdam -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.25 | - |
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.40 | - | - | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| 1xBet | 6.84 | 5.33 | 1.41 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.51 | 2.39 |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 5.00 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 6.60 | 5.15 | 1.37 | 1.31 | 2.92 | 1.51 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 3.20 | - | - |
| Betano | 6.50 | 5.20 | 1.42 | 1.37 | 3.10 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax preview & analysis
Match preview
Sparta Rotterdam host Ajax in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sparta Rotterdam are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Most recently they drew with GO Ahead Eagles 3-3 away. They're 14th in the table with 6 points from 8 games. Ajax arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 1-2 away. They're 5th in the table with 15 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sparta Rotterdam have won 0, Ajax have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ajax clear favourites: Sparta Rotterdam 12%, draw 23%, Ajax 65%. We expect around 3.6 goals (0.8 - 2.8 in expected goals), with 70% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.51, which our model rates at a 61% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Ajax.
Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam- 10 OctAGO Ahead Eagles3-3
- 19 SeptHHeerenveen0-4
- 13 SeptAPSV Eindhoven1-4
- 4 SeptHPEC Zwolle2-2
- 29 AugAExcelsior1-2
Ajax- 15 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2
- 10 OctHNEC Nijmegen1-1
- 19 SeptHExcelsior2-2
- 15 SeptHWillem II5-1
- 12 SeptAFortuna Sittard5-1
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax: FAQ
What is the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.51. Our predicted score is Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 Ajax.
Who is the favourite to win Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?
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Ajax are favourites. Our model gives Sparta Rotterdam a 12% chance of winning, Ajax 65%, and the draw 23%.
Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax kick off?
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Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax kicks off at 15:45 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam.
