Eredivisie· Regular Season - 10· Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior25 Oct
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
More Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Excelsior +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| AH1 +1.5Fortuna Sittard +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| X2Excelsior or Draw | 65% | 1.54 | 1.48 |
| 1XFortuna Sittard or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.66 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | 2.28 |
| 2Excelsior to win | 38% | 2.63 | 2.44 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 | 2.41 |
| 1Fortuna Sittard to win | 35% | 2.84 | 2.70 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.84 | 2.66 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.74 | 3.82 |
| AH2 -1.5Excelsior -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.83 | 4.10 |
| AH1 -1.5Fortuna Sittard -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.66 | 4.70 |
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.38 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.60 |
| 1xBet | 2.70 | 3.82 | 2.44 | 1.45 | 2.41 | 1.42 | 2.66 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.38 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.36 | 1.45 | 2.41 | 1.42 | 2.61 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.20 | 1.44 | 2.60 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.45 | 1.53 | 2.57 | 1.44 | 2.67 |
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior preview & analysis
Match preview
Fortuna Sittard host Excelsior in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 11:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Fortuna Sittard arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Twente 1-1 at home. They're 7th in the table with 14 points from 8 games. Excelsior arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Groningen 1-5 at home. They're 9th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Fortuna Sittard have won 3, Excelsior have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Excelsior narrow favourites: Fortuna Sittard 35%, draw 27%, Excelsior 38%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.6 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.45, which our model rates at a 63% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Excelsior.
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard- 10 OctHTwente1-1
- 3 OctAGenk2-1
- 19 SeptAWillem II1-0
- 12 SeptHAjax1-5
- 6 SeptAADO Den Haag3-2
Excelsior- 11 OctHGroningen1-5
- 19 SeptAAjax2-2
- 13 SeptHUtrecht1-2
- 8 SeptANEC Nijmegen2-2
- 5 SeptAWillem II3-0
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: FAQ
What is the Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.45. Our predicted score is Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Excelsior.
Who is the favourite to win Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
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Excelsior are favourites. Our model gives Fortuna Sittard a 35% chance of winning, Excelsior 38%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior kick off?
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Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior kicks off at 11:15 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard.
