Eredivisie· Regular Season - 10· AFAS Stadion
AZ Alkmaar
Twente25 Oct
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Twente or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
More AZ Alkmaar vs Twente tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AZ Alkmaar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| AH2 +1.5Twente +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.36 | 1.19 |
| 1XAZ Alkmaar or Draw | 70% | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | 1.44 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | 1.66 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.27 |
| 1AZ Alkmaar to win | 42% | 2.37 | 2.28 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | 2.43 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.84 | 2.66 |
| 2Twente to win | 30% | 3.32 | 2.88 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| AH1 -1.5AZ Alkmaar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.80 | 3.76 |
| AH2 -1.5Twente -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.55 | 5.05 |
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.75 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.90 | 2.88 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.42 | 2.66 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.75 | 2.75 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.78 | 2.79 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.42 | 2.61 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.90 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.60 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.80 | 2.82 | 1.52 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 2.67 |
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente preview & analysis
Match preview
AZ Alkmaar host Twente in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 10) at AFAS Stadion on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AZ Alkmaar arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 19 points from 8 games. Twente arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat FC Thun 1-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, AZ Alkmaar have won 4, Twente have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AZ Alkmaar narrow favourites: AZ Alkmaar 42%, draw 28%, Twente 30%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.8 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Twente should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Twente or Draw at 1.64, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Twente.
Recent form
AZ Alkmaar- 15 OctHHapoel Beer Sheva2-1
- 10 OctAFeyenoord0-2
- 20 SeptHTelstar1-0
- 16 SeptASunderland0-1
- 11 SeptHWillem II1-1
Twente- 15 OctHFC Thun1-0
- 10 OctAFortuna Sittard1-1
- 2 OctHWerder Bremen7-0
- 20 SeptHPSV Eindhoven3-2
- 12 SeptHADO Den Haag2-0
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente: FAQ
What is the AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction?
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Our tip is Twente or Draw at odds of 1.64. Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Twente.
Who is the favourite to win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
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AZ Alkmaar are favourites. Our model gives AZ Alkmaar a 42% chance of winning, Twente 30%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does AZ Alkmaar vs Twente kick off?
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AZ Alkmaar vs Twente kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
