Copa del Rey· Round of 128· Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo
Navalcarnero
Real Betis12 Nov
Navalcarnero vs Real Betis Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 12 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams NOT to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-2
Fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
0.8 - 2.9
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Fan vote
Question 1 of 2
Expert analysis
Betis blank is the likeliest script
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & Portugal ·
Real Betis should control this Copa del Rey tie, and a home blank is the cleanest reading of the numbers. Both teams not to score is a strong-probability call at 1.75, not a swing at a big price.
Form and context
Navalcarnero are unbeaten in five, but Betis bring the heavier punch.
- Hosts: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
- Those five brought BTTS in 5 and over 2.5 in 3.
- Betis: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 11 scored and 9 conceded, BTTS in 3.
- That run includes a 0-0 at Celta and a 5-2 win over Osasuna.
- Navalcarnero are eighth in Segunda RFEF Group 5: 3 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats from eight.
Team news
Absences bite both squads, and the Betis goalkeeper is still open.
- Navalcarnero are without Álvaro Domínguez, Óscar López and Marcos Moraga; no suspension was reported.
- EFE and Infobae list a probable XI, with Mario Sánchez and Richi Álvarez up front.
- ElDesmarque reports Betis missing Cucho Hernández (soleus), Junior Firpo and banned Facundo Bernal.
- A 24-man squad includes Iker Losada; Ian Forns was not called.
- Pellegrini left Diego Conde and Manu González both in the frame in goal.
Shape and duels
Betis should pin the hosts back. Navalcarnero will hunt one clear weakness.
- Expected Betis shape is a 4-3-3, with Lo Celso behind Morante, Riquelme and Parrott.
- The probable home block is a 4-4-2, so Bartra and Gómez face Sánchez and Álvarez.
- Wide pressure comes from Fran García and Riquelme against Rodríguez and Esteban.
- Estadio Deportivo quotes Miguel Zárate: every side has weak spots, and his team know where to hit.
- ElDesmarque quotes Pellegrini calling the cup the shortest path to a title and Europe, with rotations needed.
The numbers
The lean is a Betis win and a Navalcarnero blank.
- Win split: Betis 77%, draw 14%, Navalcarnero 9%.
- Expected goals: 0.82 for the hosts, 2.89 for Betis.
- Most likely score is 0-2, which is both teams not to score.
- BTTS is 46%. This outcome is 54%: a likely result, not a big-value price.
- Best odds are 1.75 (fair odds 1.86). Risk: the hosts scored in all five recent games.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Most likely score is 0-2, a Betis win with Navalcarnero blanked.
- 2Home expected goals are 0.82 against a Betis attack rated 2.89.
- 3At 54%, both teams not to score is the probable outcome, best priced at 1.75.
Verdict
Both teams not to score is the call, with 1.75 the best odds. Betis should score; the honest risk is Navalcarnero's habit of finding the net.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Navalcarnero vs Real Betis tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Real Betis +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| X2Real Betis or Draw | 89% | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| 2Real Betis to win | 75% | 1.34 | 1.14 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| AH2 -1.5Real Betis -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.68 | 1.41 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 1.91 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.12 | 1.99 |
| AH1 +1.5Navalcarnero +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.48 | 2.52 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.44 | 3.08 |
| 1XNavalcarnero or Draw | 25% | 3.96 | 5.50 |
| XDraw | 15% | 6.86 | 8.10 |
| 1Navalcarnero to win | 11% | 9.35 | 15.00 |
| AH1 -1.5Navalcarnero -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.38 | - |
Navalcarnero vs Real Betis odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 15.00 | 8.00 | 1.14 | - | - | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| 1xBet | 13.00 | 8.10 | 1.14 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.99 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 19.00 | 10.00 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 15.00 | 9.50 | 1.12 | 1.28 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 13.00 | 8.10 | 1.14 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.99 | 1.71 |
| BetVictor | 15.00 | 8.00 | 1.11 | 1.32 | 3.00 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| Pinnacle | 10.42 | 7.84 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 13.00 | 7.00 | 1.15 | 1.31 | 3.05 | 1.93 | 1.75 |
Recent form
Navalcarnero- 8 NovAGuadalajara2-2
- 1 NovHAtlético Paso3-1
- 24 OctANumancia3-2
- 18 OctASalamanca UDS1-1
- 14 OctARecreativo Huelva2-2
Real Betis- 8 NovAElche2-0
- 4 NovABorussia Dortmund1-2
- 31 OctHMalaga2-1
- 25 OctACelta Vigo0-0
- 21 OctHFeyenoord1-0
Navalcarnero vs Real Betis: FAQ
What is the Navalcarnero vs Real Betis prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams NOT to score at odds of 1.80. Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 0-2 Real Betis.
Who is the favourite to win Navalcarnero vs Real Betis?
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Real Betis are favourites. Our model gives Navalcarnero a 11% chance of winning, Real Betis 75%, and the draw 15%.
Will both teams score in Navalcarnero vs Real Betis?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Navalcarnero vs Real Betis kick off?
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Navalcarnero vs Real Betis kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Thursday, 12 November 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.
