Copa del Rey· Round of 128· New Municipal Stadium Ciudad de Puertollano
Calvo Sotelo
Albacete12 Nov
Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 12 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Albacete to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-2
Fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
0.9 - 2.1
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Fan vote
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Expert analysis
Albacete the likeliest winner in Puertollano
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & Portugal ·
Albacete are the most likely winners of this Copa del Rey tie at the New Municipal Stadium Ciudad de Puertollano. The call is an away win at 1.57, a strong-probability pick rather than a big-value price.
Form and context
Recent results lean to the visitors, though Albacete's defence has been loose.
- Calvo Sotelo's last five read 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses.
- They scored 4 and conceded 9, with over 2.5 goals in 4 games.
- The latest result was a 1-2 home loss to Guadalajara on 1 November.
- Albacete's five show 2 wins and 3 losses, with 6 scored and 11 conceded.
- The lift came from 2-0 against Eldense and 2-1 against Sabadell.
Team news
Known absences are clearer than the unannounced XIs.
- Javi Verdú and Samuel Yerpes remain out, and no suspension is confirmed.
- Javi Sánchez has not announced a Copa XI for the hosts.
- On 3 November, Etxeberria ruled Pepe Sánchez out of the cup tie.
- Munir El Haddadi trained separately and was not back in full work.
- LALIGA match pages state line-ups come only one hour before kick-off.
Press and duels
Albacete will change personnel and keep the same press.
- Less-used players and Atlético Albacete filial players should get chances.
- Etxeberria told eldigitaldealbacete.com they want their best level and the win.
- He also wants Albacete through to the next draw.
- Javi Sánchez told lanzadigital.com Albacete are two categories above his side.
- The duel is that retained press, with Numancia waiting for the hosts next weekend.
The numbers
Albacete to win is simply the most likely outcome.
- Win chances are home 20%, draw 24% and Albacete 56%.
- Expected goals are 0.89 against 2.07, and 0-2 is the most likely score.
- Over 2.5 goals is 57%, and both teams to score is 55%.
- Best odds are 1.57, with fair odds at 1.78: probability, not a big price.
- The risk is rotation plus 11 conceded across Albacete's last five.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Albacete's 56% win chance comes with a 2.07 expected-goals figure.
- 2Calvo Sotelo have zero wins in five and still miss Verdú and Yerpes.
- 3Two straight wins give Albacete momentum in a tie they mean to win.
Verdict
Albacete to win at 1.57 is the recommendation, a strong-probability call rather than a value chase. Rotation and 11 goals conceded are the risks, not a reason to oppose it.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Albacete +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.01 |
| X2Albacete or Draw | 80% | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | 1.41 |
| AH1 +1.5Calvo Sotelo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 | 1.65 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 54% | 1.85 | 1.70 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 46% | 2.18 | 2.05 |
| 1XCalvo Sotelo or Draw | 44% | 2.27 | 2.33 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.30 | 2.15 |
| AH2 -1.5Albacete -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.49 | 2.43 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | 2.52 |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.15 | 4.50 |
| 1Calvo Sotelo to win | 20% | 5.02 | 5.80 |
| AH1 -1.5Calvo Sotelo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.59 | 10.00 |
Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.57 | - | - | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 5.12 | 4.20 | 1.57 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 2.04 |
| Dafabet | 5.80 | 4.50 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.55 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 5.20 | 4.20 | 1.55 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 2.01 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.53 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Recent form
Calvo Sotelo- 8 NovANumancia0-6
- 1 NovHGuadalajara1-2
- 25 OctAGetafe II2-2
- 18 OctASS Reyes1-2
- 11 OctHRSD Alcalá0-0
Albacete- 7 NovALeganes3-1
- 31 OctHSabadell2-1
- 25 OctHEldense2-0
- 17 OctASporting Gijon1-2
- 12 OctAValladolid0-5
Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: FAQ
What is the Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete prediction?
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Our tip is Albacete to win at odds of 1.57. Our predicted score is Calvo Sotelo 0-2 Albacete.
Who is the favourite to win Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?
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Albacete are favourites. Our model gives Calvo Sotelo a 20% chance of winning, Albacete 56%, and the draw 24%.
Will both teams score in Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?
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We rate both teams to score at 54%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete kick off?
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Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Thursday, 12 November 2026 at New Municipal Stadium Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano.
