Nations League· League A - 5
Italy
France12 Nov
Italy vs France Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 12 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.1 - 2.1
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Match probabilities
More Italy vs France tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5France +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| X2France or Draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.20 |
| AH1 +1.5Italy +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | 1.29 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | 1.47 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.51 |
| 2France to win | 50% | 1.99 | 1.80 |
| 1XItaly or Draw | 50% | 2.01 | 1.83 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 | 2.32 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 | 2.41 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.65 | 2.42 |
| AH2 -1.5France -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.78 | 3.14 |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.83 | 4.05 |
| 1Italy to win | 24% | 4.23 | 3.54 |
| AH1 -1.5Italy -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.15 | - |
Italy vs France odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.54 | 4.05 | 1.80 | 1.47 | 2.41 | 1.47 | 2.42 |
Italy vs France preview & analysis
Match preview
Italy host France in the Nations League (League A - 5) on Thursday, 12 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Italy arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Türkiye 3-1 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 7 points from 4 games. France arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Belgium 4-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 10 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Italy have won 2, France have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes France favourites: Italy 24%, draw 26%, France 50%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.1 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score at 1.47, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Italy 1-2 France.
Recent form
Italy- 5 OctHTürkiye3-1
- 2 OctAFrance1-1
- 28 SeptATürkiye4-1
- 25 SeptHBelgium0-2
- 7 JunAGreece1-0
France- 5 OctHBelgium4-1
- 2 OctHItaly1-1
- 28 SeptABelgium1-0
- 25 SeptATürkiye1-0
- 18 JulHEngland4-6
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Italy vs France: FAQ
What is the Italy vs France prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.47. Our predicted score is Italy 1-2 France.
Who is the favourite to win Italy vs France?
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France are favourites. Our model gives Italy a 24% chance of winning, France 50%, and the draw 26%.
Will both teams score in Italy vs France?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Italy vs France kick off?
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Italy vs France kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 12 November 2026.
