Nations League· League A - 5
England
Croatia12 Nov
England vs Croatia Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 12 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.5 - 0.7
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Match probabilities
More England vs Croatia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5England +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XEngland or Draw | 94% | 1.06 | - |
| 1England to win | 74% | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.52 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.81 | 1.66 |
| AH1 -1.5England -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 54% | 1.84 | 1.62 |
| AH2 +1.5Croatia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 46% | 2.19 | 2.10 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.23 | 2.04 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | 2.31 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 | 2.41 |
| X2Croatia or Draw | 26% | 3.90 | 4.09 |
| XDraw | 20% | 5.07 | 6.36 |
| 2Croatia to win | 6% | 16.82 | 12.50 |
| AH2 -1.5Croatia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 45.93 | - |
England vs Croatia odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 6.36 | 12.50 | 1.47 | 2.41 | 2.04 | 1.66 |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 6.50 | 14.00 | - | - | - | - |
England vs Croatia preview & analysis
Match preview
England host Croatia in the Nations League (League A - 5) on Thursday, 12 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
England arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Czechia 3-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 9 points from 4 games. Croatia are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 16. Most recently they lost to Spain 1-2 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 3 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, England have won 4, Croatia have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes England clear favourites: England 74%, draw 20%, Croatia 6%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.5 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.47, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is England 2-0 Croatia.
Recent form
England- 6 OctHCzechia3-0
- 3 OctACroatia7-0
- 29 SeptACzechia2-0
- 26 SeptHSpain2-3
- 18 JulAFrance6-4
Croatia- 6 OctHSpain1-2
- 3 OctHEngland0-7
- 29 SeptASpain1-4
- 26 SeptACzechia2-1
- 3 JulAPortugal1-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
England vs Croatia: FAQ
What is the England vs Croatia prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.47. Our predicted score is England 2-0 Croatia.
Who is the favourite to win England vs Croatia?
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England are favourites. Our model gives England a 74% chance of winning, Croatia 6%, and the draw 20%.
Will both teams score in England vs Croatia?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does England vs Croatia kick off?
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England vs Croatia kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 12 November 2026.
