Nations League· League C - 5
Albania
Finland12 Nov
Albania vs Finland Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 12 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.4 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
More Albania vs Finland tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Albania +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Finland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| 1XAlbania or Draw | 72% | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| X2Finland or Draw | 57% | 1.74 | 1.73 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.88 | 1.72 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.14 | 1.96 |
| 1Albania to win | 43% | 2.35 | 1.91 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.24 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.36 | 3.41 |
| 2Finland to win | 28% | 3.61 | 3.74 |
| AH1 -1.5Albania -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.57 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Finland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.18 | - |
Albania vs Finland odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.41 | 3.74 | 2.24 | 1.65 | 1.96 | 1.72 |
Albania vs Finland preview & analysis
Match preview
Albania host Finland in the Nations League (League C - 5) on Thursday, 12 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Albania arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat San Marino 2-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 9 points from 4 games. Finland arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Belarus 0-1 away. They're 3rd in the table with 7 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Albania have won 0, Finland have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Albania narrow favourites: Albania 43%, draw 30%, Finland 28%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.4 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 42% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.65, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Albania 1-0 Finland.
Recent form
Albania- 6 OctHSan Marino2-1
- 3 OctAFinland1-2
- 29 SeptASan Marino3-0
- 26 SeptHBelarus2-0
- 6 JunHLuxembourg0-1
Finland- 6 OctABelarus0-1
- 3 OctHAlbania2-1
- 29 SeptHBelarus0-0
- 26 SeptASan Marino7-0
- 5 JunAHungary1-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
Albania vs Finland: FAQ
What is the Albania vs Finland prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65. Our predicted score is Albania 1-0 Finland.
Who is the favourite to win Albania vs Finland?
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Albania are favourites. Our model gives Albania a 43% chance of winning, Finland 28%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Albania vs Finland?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Albania vs Finland kick off?
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Albania vs Finland kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 12 November 2026.
