Liga MX· Apertura - 12· Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
CF Pachuca19 Oct
Monterrey vs CF Pachuca Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 19 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.72
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
More Monterrey vs CF Pachuca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Monterrey +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | 1.01 |
| 1XMonterrey or Draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| AH2 +1.5CF Pachuca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | 1.38 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.74 | 1.60 |
| X2CF Pachuca or Draw | 52% | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| 1Monterrey to win | 48% | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.35 | 2.25 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 | 2.23 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 | 2.41 |
| AH1 -1.5Monterrey -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.11 | 2.62 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.72 | 4.00 |
| 2CF Pachuca to win | 25% | 4.02 | 4.50 |
| AH2 -1.5CF Pachuca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.82 | 8.50 |
Monterrey vs CF Pachuca odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.00 | - | - | 1.55 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 3.95 | 4.32 | 1.60 | 2.23 | 1.60 | 2.19 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.50 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.95 | 4.33 | 1.60 | 2.23 | 1.60 | 2.16 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.40 | 1.59 | 2.16 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 4.38 | 4.45 | 1.62 | 2.31 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.48 | 3.73 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.45 | 1.65 | 2.30 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Monterrey vs CF Pachuca preview & analysis
Match preview
Monterrey host CF Pachuca in the Liga MX (Apertura - 12) at Estadio BBVA on Monday, 19 October 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Monterrey arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Club America 1-1 away. They're 10th in the table with 14 points from 10 games. CF Pachuca arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Necaxa 3-3 at home. They're 11th in the table with 13 points from 11 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Monterrey have won 2, CF Pachuca have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Monterrey favourites: Monterrey 48%, draw 27%, CF Pachuca 25%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.60, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Monterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca.
Recent form
Monterrey- 11 OctAClub America1-1
- 4 OctHToluca2-1
- 26 SeptAAtlante FC2-4
- 20 SeptHCruz Azul1-0
- 13 SeptHTigres UANL0-0
CF Pachuca- 12 OctHNecaxa3-3
- 27 SeptASantos Laguna0-1
- 21 SeptHClub Tijuana2-2
- 12 SeptAAtlante FC3-0
- 5 SeptAFC Juarez2-0
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Monterrey vs CF Pachuca: FAQ
What is the Monterrey vs CF Pachuca prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.60. Our predicted score is Monterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca.
Who is the favourite to win Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?
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Monterrey are favourites. Our model gives Monterrey a 48% chance of winning, CF Pachuca 25%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Monterrey vs CF Pachuca?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Monterrey vs CF Pachuca kick off?
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Monterrey vs CF Pachuca kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Monday, 19 October 2026 at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey.
