Serie A· Regular Season - 7
Monza
Cagliari19 Oct
Monza vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 19 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Cagliari or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
More Monza vs Cagliari tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Monza +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| AH2 +1.5Cagliari +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| 1XMonza or Draw | 67% | 1.48 | 1.39 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.82 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.11 | 2.00 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 | 2.15 |
| 1Monza to win | 35% | 2.83 | 2.49 |
| 2Cagliari to win | 33% | 3.07 | 3.26 |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.11 | 3.26 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.82 | 3.44 |
| AH1 -1.5Monza -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.85 | 4.45 |
| AH2 -1.5Cagliari -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.79 | 6.20 |
Monza vs Cagliari odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.49 | 3.26 | 3.26 | 2.15 | 1.82 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 3.25 | 3.15 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 3.16 | 3.16 | 2.08 | 1.76 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 1.97 | 1.72 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 3.23 | 3.23 | 2.11 | 1.78 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.32 | 2.98 | 2.74 | 2.14 | 1.73 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.15 | 3.25 | 2.07 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
Monza vs Cagliari preview & analysis
Match preview
Monza host Cagliari in the Serie A (Regular Season - 7) on Monday, 19 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Monza are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Lazio 1-3 away. They're 16th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Cagliari arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Juventus 1-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 13 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Monza have won 1, Cagliari have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Monza narrow favourites: Monza 35%, draw 32%, Cagliari 33%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Cagliari should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw. Our pick is Cagliari or Draw at 1.60, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Monza 1-0 Cagliari.
Recent form
Monza- 11 OctALazio1-3
- 3 OctAStade Brestois 292-2
- 26 SeptHCremonese2-3
- 18 SeptHSassuolo2-1
- 13 SeptALecce2-3
Cagliari- 11 OctHJuventus1-1
- 19 SeptAUdinese1-0
- 12 SeptAAtalanta2-1
- 7 SeptHLecce1-0
- 3 SeptHHellas Verona1-2
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Monza vs Cagliari: FAQ
What is the Monza vs Cagliari prediction?
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Our tip is Cagliari or Draw at odds of 1.60. Our predicted score is Monza 1-0 Cagliari.
Who is the favourite to win Monza vs Cagliari?
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Monza are favourites. Our model gives Monza a 35% chance of winning, Cagliari 33%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Monza vs Cagliari?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Monza vs Cagliari kick off?
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Monza vs Cagliari kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Monday, 19 October 2026.
