Ligue 1· Regular Season - 6· Stade Louis II
Monaco
Toulouse2-2
FT
Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Kick-off
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Monaco vs Toulouse tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Monaco +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.04 | 1.01 |
| 1XMonaco or Draw | 83% | 1.21 | 1.20 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.50 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| 1Monaco to win | 57% | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| AH2 +1.5Toulouse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 55% | 1.82 | 1.54 |
| AH1 -1.5Monaco -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 45% | 2.22 | 2.74 |
| X2Toulouse or Draw | 43% | 2.33 | 2.34 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.41 | 2.25 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 | 2.45 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.53 | 2.38 |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.87 | 4.41 |
| 2Toulouse to win | 17% | 5.84 | 5.23 |
| AH2 -1.5Toulouse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 24.48 | 11.00 |
Monaco vs Toulouse odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.80 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.41 | 5.23 | 1.65 | 2.45 | 1.60 | 2.22 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 4.30 | 5.20 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.33 | 5.35 | 1.51 | 2.35 | 1.58 | 2.23 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.10 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.25 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.33 | 5.41 | 1.59 | 2.48 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.57 | 4.12 | 4.84 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.35 | 5.30 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
Monaco vs Toulouse preview & analysis
Match preview
Monaco host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 6) at Stade Louis II on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Monaco arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Pisa 2-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 14 points from 6 games. Toulouse arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to PAU 2-3 at home. They're 15th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Monaco have won 3, Toulouse have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Monaco favourites: Monaco 57%, draw 26%, Toulouse 17%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.2 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Monaco- 3 OctHPisa2-0
- 18 SeptHLens2-1
- 12 SeptAStrasbourg1-1
- 4 SeptAParis Saint Germain2-1
- 30 AugHMarseille2-0
Toulouse- 3 OctHPAU2-3
- 19 SeptHLe Havre3-2
- 12 SeptALorient2-2
- 3 SeptHLille0-1
- 29 AugAStade Brestois 292-2
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Monaco vs Toulouse: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Monaco vs Toulouse?
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Monaco are favourites. Our model gives Monaco a 57% chance of winning, Toulouse 17%, and the draw 26%.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs Toulouse?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Monaco vs Toulouse kick off?
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Monaco vs Toulouse kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Stade Louis II, Monaco.
