Serie B· Regular Season - 15· Stadio Alberto Braglia
Modena
Arezzo5 Dec
Modena vs Arezzo Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
2.1 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Modena vs Arezzo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Modena +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XModena or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Arezzo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| X2Arezzo or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Modena to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Modena -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| 2Arezzo to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Arezzo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.95 | - |
Modena vs Arezzo preview & analysis
Match preview
Modena host Arezzo in the Serie B (Regular Season - 15) at Stadio Alberto Braglia on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Modena arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Hellas Verona 3-2 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 13 points from 6 games. Arezzo are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 11. Most recently they drew with Cremonese 0-0 at home. They're 12th in the table with 7 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Modena have won 2, Arezzo have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Modena favourites: Modena 47%, draw 41%, Arezzo 12%. We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Modena 2-0 Arezzo.
Recent form
Modena- 11 OctHHellas Verona3-2
- 20 SeptHEmpoli2-1
- 12 SeptASudtirol1-1
- 6 SeptHAvellino0-1
- 28 AugACremonese3-0
Arezzo- 10 OctHCremonese0-0
- 27 SeptALazio0-2
- 20 SeptHSudtirol1-4
- 11 SeptAEmpoli1-0
- 6 SeptAHellas Verona0-5
Head to head
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Modena vs Arezzo: FAQ
What is the Modena vs Arezzo prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Modena 2-0 Arezzo.
Who is the favourite to win Modena vs Arezzo?
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Modena are favourites. Our model gives Modena a 47% chance of winning, Arezzo 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Modena vs Arezzo?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Modena vs Arezzo kick off?
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Modena vs Arezzo kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena.
