Serie B· Regular Season - 15· Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Avellino
Sudtirol5 Dec
Avellino vs Sudtirol Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Avellino vs Sudtirol tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Avellino +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAvellino or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Sudtirol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Sudtirol or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Avellino to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Avellino -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Sudtirol to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sudtirol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Avellino vs Sudtirol preview & analysis
Match preview
Avellino host Sudtirol in the Serie B (Regular Season - 15) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Avellino arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Sampdoria 4-1 at home. They're 6th in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Sudtirol arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Ascoli 0-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 12 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Avellino have won 3, Sudtirol have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Avellino narrow favourites: Avellino 44%, draw 38%, Sudtirol 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Avellino 1-0 Sudtirol.
Recent form
Avellino- 9 OctHSampdoria4-1
- 19 SeptAAscoli1-3
- 13 SeptHPalermo1-1
- 6 SeptAModena1-0
- 29 AugHVicenza Virtus3-0
Sudtirol- 10 OctHAscoli0-0
- 2 OctHWacker Innsbruck2-3
- 20 SeptAArezzo4-1
- 15 SeptAGenoa0-1
- 12 SeptHModena1-1
Head to head
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Avellino vs Sudtirol: FAQ
What is the Avellino vs Sudtirol prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Avellino 1-0 Sudtirol.
Who is the favourite to win Avellino vs Sudtirol?
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Avellino are favourites. Our model gives Avellino a 44% chance of winning, Sudtirol 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Avellino vs Sudtirol?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Avellino vs Sudtirol kick off?
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Avellino vs Sudtirol kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino.
