Serie B· Regular Season - 15· Stadio Danilo Martelli
Mantova
Ascoli5 Dec
Mantova vs Ascoli Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.5 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
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More Mantova vs Ascoli tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Mantova +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XMantova or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Ascoli +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| X2Ascoli or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| 1Mantova to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Mantova -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| 2Ascoli to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Ascoli -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.62 | - |
Mantova vs Ascoli preview & analysis
Match preview
Mantova host Ascoli in the Serie B (Regular Season - 15) at Stadio Danilo Martelli on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Mantova arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Catanzaro 3-1 away. They're 2nd in the table with 14 points from 6 games. Ascoli arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Sudtirol 0-0 away. They're 5th in the table with 11 points from 6 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Mantova narrow favourites: Mantova 44%, draw 38%, Ascoli 18%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.5 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Mantova 1-0 Ascoli.
Recent form
Mantova- 11 OctACatanzaro3-1
- 20 SeptHPisa2-2
- 13 SeptHSampdoria2-0
- 6 SeptACesena1-1
- 3 SeptAPalermo2-5
Ascoli- 10 OctASudtirol0-0
- 19 SeptHAvellino3-1
- 12 SeptAPadova0-1
- 5 SeptHBenevento1-0
- 29 AugHCarrarese1-1
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Mantova vs Ascoli: FAQ
What is the Mantova vs Ascoli prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Mantova 1-0 Ascoli.
Who is the favourite to win Mantova vs Ascoli?
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Mantova are favourites. Our model gives Mantova a 44% chance of winning, Ascoli 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Mantova vs Ascoli?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Mantova vs Ascoli kick off?
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Mantova vs Ascoli kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova.
