Mirassol
Internacional17 Oct
Mirassol vs Internacional Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.6 - 1.1
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Expert analysis
Mirassol vs Internacional: BTTS Likely
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & South America ·
Mirassol sit one point ahead of Internacional in the relegation zone after 30 games. Both have shown BTTS in recent form with the model giving 55 percent probability for goals from both sides.
Form & Context
Mirassol and Internacional battle in the drop zone with direct table implications.
- Mirassol 15th with 33 pts from 30 games
- Internacional 17th with 32 pts from 30 games
- Last 5 form Mirassol 2W 2D 1L scored 9 conceded 4 over 2.5 in 2 BTTS in 2
- Internacional 2W 1D 2L scored 7 conceded 7 over 2.5 in 3 BTTS in 4
Team News
Injuries are key for both in this must-win fixture.
- Mirassol missing Jose Aldo muscle injury and Negueba knee injury
- Internacional without Alan Patrick thigh injury Allex inactive Kayky ankle G. Maripan inactive S. Rochet lower back A. Sanabria inactive
- João Victor returns for Mirassol captaincy
- Alan Patrick confirmed out for Internacional
Key Matchup Tactics
Pressing and duels define the shape in this home game.
- Mirassol manager Rafael Guanaes highlighted pressure and best home calendar according to ge.globo
- Internacional manager Eduardo Baptista noted high pressing and ball stealing according to ge.globo
- Momentum favors open play with both sides attacking recently
- Head to head includes Mirassol 2-1 win away in 2026
Numbers & Probabilities
Model stats support BTTS over narrow margins.
- Expected goals 1.56 home 1.11 away
- Most likely score 1-0 but BTTS 55%
- Model home 42% draw 30% away 27% over 2.5 50%
- BTTS in 2 of Mirassol last 5 and 4 of Internacional last 5
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Mirassol BTTS in 2 of last 5 games
- 2Internacional BTTS in 4 of last 5 games
- 355 percent model probability for BTTS
Verdict
We tip both teams to score at 1.7 odds. The main risk is a tight defensive battle limiting chances if Mirassol hold firm at home.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Mirassol vs Internacional tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Mirassol +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | 1.06 |
| AH2 +1.5Internacional +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| 1XMirassol or Draw | 73% | 1.38 | 1.36 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.29 |
| X2Internacional or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | 1.92 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | 1.92 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | 2.05 |
| 1Mirassol to win | 42% | 2.36 | 2.32 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.30 | 3.53 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.43 | 3.04 |
| 2Internacional to win | 27% | 3.67 | 3.22 |
| AH1 -1.5Mirassol -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.11 | 3.94 |
| AH2 -1.5Internacional -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.48 | 6.15 |
Mirassol vs Internacional odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 | - | - | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.53 | 3.22 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.69 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 2.32 | 3.45 | 3.15 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.42 | 3.12 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.69 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 | - | - | - | - |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.38 | 3.20 | 1.94 | 1.89 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
Recent form
- 11 OctABahia0-1
- 7 OctARB Bragantino1-1
- 27 SeptAUberlandia4-0
- 19 SeptHBotafogo2-0
- 13 SeptHVitoria2-2
- 11 OctAGremio1-1
- 7 OctHCorinthians2-1
- 20 SeptASao Paulo0-1
- 12 SeptAChapecoense-sc2-1
- 6 SeptHSantos2-3
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 | |
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 | |
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 | |
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 | |
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 | |
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 | |
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 | |
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 | |
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 | |
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 | |
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 | |
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 | |
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 | |
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 | |
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 | |
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Mirassol vs Internacional: FAQ
What is the Mirassol vs Internacional prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.70. Our predicted score is Mirassol 1-0 Internacional.
Who is the favourite to win Mirassol vs Internacional?
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Mirassol are favourites. Our model gives Mirassol a 42% chance of winning, Internacional 27%, and the draw 30%.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Internacional?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Mirassol vs Internacional kick off?
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Mirassol vs Internacional kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirasol.
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